Confirmation Request - 10 Year Analysis Complete for Engrossed Substitute Senate Bill 5801.PL - UPDATE
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UPDATE: The 10 year analysis for ESSB 5801.PL, titled AN ACT Relating to transportation resources, has been completed. The Office of Financial Management has identified this bill as requiring a ten-year projection of increased cost to the taxpayers
or affected fee payers.
Ten-year projection:
|
Fiscal |
Abandoned RV Disposal Fee |
Driver's License Fee |
Identicard Fee |
License Fee by Weight |
LPG License Fee |
Luxury tax |
Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax |
Passenger Vehicle Weight Fee |
Replacement tire fee |
Retail sales tax |
Speed Safety Camera Systems Program |
Title and Registration Filing Fee |
Title and Registration Service Fee |
WSF - Credit Card Recovery Fee |
Total |
|
|
|
||||||||||||||||
|
2026 |
$287,000 |
$6,425,100 |
$668,800 |
$22,364,500 |
$0 |
$600,000 |
$154,521,600 |
$7,909,100 |
$7,662,000 |
$52,428,000 |
$0 |
$415,800 |
$3,550,000 |
$1,293,000 |
$258,124,900 |
|
|
2027 |
$506,400 |
$9,370,800 |
$911,500 |
$49,510,200 |
$268,200 |
$3,900,000 |
$215,106,500 |
$15,882,000 |
$20,995,000 |
$117,040,000 |
$41,123,000 |
$846,300 |
$7,213,100 |
$5,360,000 |
$488,033,000 |
|
|
2028 |
$510,100 |
$8,774,000 |
$872,100 |
$54,402,100 |
$303,600 |
$4,000,000 |
$259,486,900 |
$16,047,700 |
$21,329,000 |
$117,136,000 |
$45,097,000 |
$853,400 |
$7,274,000 |
$5,576,000 |
$541,661,900 |
|
|
2029 |
$513,000 |
$14,985,000 |
$1,839,300 |
$59,376,000 |
$432,600 |
$4,200,000 |
$295,591,400 |
$24,467,700 |
$21,680,000 |
$119,850,000 |
$40,587,000 |
$853,600 |
$7,336,400 |
$5,782,000 |
$597,494,000 |
|
|
2030 |
$516,600 |
$13,308,400 |
$1,849,000 |
$64,443,400 |
$477,900 |
$4,300,000 |
$326,667,700 |
$33,109,400 |
$22,282,000 |
$120,190,000 |
$36,528,000 |
$844,900 |
$7,367,900 |
$5,966,000 |
$637,851,200 |
|
|
2031 |
$519,700 |
$13,416,800 |
$1,993,200 |
$69,634,400 |
$525,000 |
$4,500,000 |
$357,890,100 |
$33,643,400 |
$22,838,000 |
$120,480,000 |
$0 |
$838,800 |
$7,414,400 |
$6,193,000 |
$639,886,800 |
|
|
2032 |
$522,900 |
$20,069,500 |
$2,838,100 |
$74,919,900 |
$572,900 |
$4,700,000 |
$385,521,900 |
$34,138,100 |
$18,704,000 |
$120,710,000 |
$0 |
$834,200 |
$7,462,400 |
$6,373,000 |
$677,366,900 |
|
|
2033 |
$526,500 |
$21,466,600 |
$2,802,500 |
$80,297,800 |
$624,600 |
$4,800,000 |
$419,221,000 |
$34,615,200 |
$19,380,000 |
$120,850,000 |
$0 |
$833,000 |
$7,517,000 |
$6,552,000 |
$719,486,200 |
|
|
2034 |
$526,500 |
$24,388,200 |
$2,710,800 |
$85,815,600 |
$677,000 |
$5,000,000 |
$454,531,600 |
$35,061,900 |
$19,989,000 |
$121,040,000 |
$0 |
$837,100 |
$7,584,800 |
$6,739,000 |
$764,901,500 |
|
|
2035 |
$526,500 |
$35,105,800 |
$3,655,600 |
$91,383,700 |
$729,000 |
$5,200,000 |
$490,309,300 |
$35,428,200 |
$20,656,000 |
$121,340,000 |
$0 |
$841,500 |
$7,643,900 |
$6,923,000 |
$819,742,500 |
|
|
|
||||||||||||||||
|
Total: |
$4,955,200 |
$167,310,200 |
$20,140,900 |
$652,147,600 |
$4,610,800 |
$41,200,000 |
$3,358,848,000 |
$270,302,700 |
$195,515,000 |
$1,131,064,000 |
$163,335,000 |
$7,998,600 |
$70,363,900 |
$56,757,000 |
$6,144,548,900 |
|
Department of Transportation:
Section 304 (5) (a) is updated so the penalty for the first violation is increased from $0 to $125. The second violation, and each violation, thereafter, will remain at $248. There are no other changes in Section 304 regarding the Speed Safety Camera Systems Program.
There will be an impact on future revenue. The current modeling provided by Transportation Operations has the first violation listed at $0. Our modeling has been updated to update the first violation to $125 effective July 1, 2026.
Transportation Operations assumes that:
• First infractions issued between go-live and June 30, 2026, will be issued at $0.
• First infractions issued on and beyond July 1, 2026, will be issued at $125.
• Second infractions, and each violation, thereafter, will be issued at $248 from go-live and beyond. There is no change to this penalty amount.
• It is anticipated in FY 2029 and FY 2030 that we will see a 10% decrease in first infractions since all 15 units will have been deployed statewide in FY 2028.
• The program ends on June 30, 2030.
No impact on FY 2026.
For fiscal year 2027, there will be 10 units with an anticipated 3,725 deployments which would result in:
• 328,986 first infractions at $125, which would generate $41,123,250 in revenue.
For fiscal year 2028, there will be 15 units with an anticipated 5,525 deployments which would result in:
• 360,773 first infractions at $125, which would generate $45,096,625 in revenue.
For fiscal year 2029, there will be 15 units with an anticipated 5,525 deployments which would result in:
• 324,696 first infractions at $125, which would generate $40,587,000 in revenue.
For fiscal year 2030, there will be 15 units with an anticipated 5,525 deployments which would result in:
• 292,226 first infractions at $125, which would generate $36,528,250 in revenue.
Washington State Ferries (Program X – Op)
Revenue assumptions are based on March 2025 Adopted Revenue Forecast, with an average of 82.8% of total revenue derived from credit card revenue receipts. The Credit Card Recover Revenue applies a 3% credit card fee, per the bill language.
Fiscal Year Revenue Revenue Receipts via Credit Card Credit Card Payments as % of Fare Revenue Credit Card Recovery Revenue at 3%
2026 $208,114,906 $43,104,178 82.8% $1,293,125
2027 $215,671,065 $178,676,753 82.8% $5,360,303
2028 $224,477,000 $185,866,956 82.8% $5,576,009
2029 $232,783,000 $192,744,324 82.8% $5,782,330
2030 $240,177,000 $198,866,556 82.8% $5,965,997
2031 $249,306,000 $206,425,368 82.8% $6,192,761
2032 $256,576,000 $212,444,928 82.8% $6,373,348
2033 $263,754,000 $218,388,312 82.80% $6,551,649
2034 $271,294,000 $224,631,432 82.80% $6,738,943
2035 $278,700,000 $230,763,600 82.80% $6,922,908
Ten-year projection prepared in consultation with the following agencies:
Department of Revenue
Department of Licensing
Department of Transportation
Department of Commerce
This engrossed bill is proposed by the Senate.
The substitute bill was proposed by:
The original bill sponsors and contact information are:
Senator Marko Liias, Prime Sponsor
Democrat
(360) 786-7640
marko.liias@leg.wa.gov
Senator Curtis King
Republican
(360) 786-7626
curtis.king@leg.wa.gov
Senator Mike Chapman
Democrat
(360) 786-7646
mike.chapman@leg.wa.gov
Legislative Bill Information Website:
http://apps.leg.wa.gov/billinfo/
Initiative 960 Website: http://www.ofm.wa.gov/tax/default.asp