New mortality assumptions method for national population projections

Office for National Statistics sent this bulletin at 22-05-2023 11:12 AM BST

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User engagement response on a new mortality projection method for national population projections

22 May 2023

Today we have published a response to the user engagement exercise on a new mortality assumptions method for national population projections, which we undertook earlier this year. Users of demographic statistics were invited to feedback on a new mortality projection method for national population projections.  

Overall, responses showed general support for the new mortality projection method, especially the use of a long time series of data to inform the model.

As a result, and with agreement from the National Population Projections (NPP) Committee who oversee the production of NPPs, we plan to adopt the new mortality projection methodology. We will provide guidance to users on its use in the next round of the NPPs.  
Rich Pereira

Rich Pereira is head of Demography. You can follow Rich on Twitter for the latest in population statistics news: @RichPereira_ONS.

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