Today we have published an update to our research into the new dynamic population model (DPM). We have now produced population estimates for mid-year 2011 to 2022 covering 14 case study local authorities (LAs). These research outputs are not official statistics on the population. The DPM uses a statistical modelling approach and draws upon a range of data sources. By using these new methods, the DPM estimates for 13 of these LAs showed no more than a 3.6% variation from Census 2021 estimates. 

Read the release

Tomorrow we will publish a progress update on our international migration research alongside experimental and provisional migration estimates, and a blog which provides context to the numbers and a forward look to the coming months. You can sign up to receive updates on our international migration statistics, or keep up to date on population, migration and admin-based statistics transformation by subscribing to our monthly newsletter.

We welcome your feedback on this research and the methodology used to develop the dynamic population model, to inform future developments. Email us your comments and questions and include “Dynamic population model” in the subject line of your response.

Related research you may be interested in: 

• Dynamic population model for England and Wales: July 2022  
• Population statistics and sources guide   
• Admin-based population and migration estimates: research update  
• Receiving user insights on local population levels and change, England and Wales: August 2022 

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