An update on plans for population estimates and projections

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An update on plans for population estimates and projections

02 March 2022

Today we have updated the population statistics and sources guide. This guide provides a summary of the planned publication dates for population estimates, their different uses and the data sources which underpin them.

We have included revisions following the announcement of plans for the publication of Census 2021 results and incorporated the information previously shared in our update on research and plans for population estimates and projections. We will continue to keep the guide updated as plans progress.

The update article also outlined our plans for case studies of data relating to students in local population estimates, building on our work towards understanding students across administrative data in England and Wales, which we published in November 2021. This analysis used a combination of administrative data on health and higher education to ascertain, among other things, how well the data highlight moves of students into and out of student accommodation.

Our case studies will provide analysis of these features in more detail at the local level, and the first analysis is expected for publication as soon as possible after Census 2021 results are available. We have decided to postpone this publication from the originally planned date of March 2022 to enable the completion of census quality assurance by participating local authorities and to enable the inclusion of Census 2021 results into the analysis. Work to finalise the selected local authority districts and to analyse the mid-year population estimates in comparison with admin data will continue, and Census 2021 data will be included in our work as it becomes available. This will enable us to provide the most comprehensive picture possible of trends and changes in younger adult population age groups for student areas.

Read the article

Rich Pereira

Rich Pereira is the head of the Centre for Ageing and Demography. You can follow Rich on Twitter for the latest in population statistics news @RichPereira_ONS.

Jay Lindop

Jay Lindop is the head of the Centre for International Migration. You can follow Jay on Twitter for the latest in migration statistics news @JayLindop_ONS.

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