An evolving picture of UK population change

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An evolving picture of UK population change

With apologies for any cross posting

An evolving picture of UK population change

During the pandemic, some of our usual methods for measuring population and migration have been either paused or seriously disrupted, leading to speculation on what changes may have happened. However, providing the best available evidence to make decisions has never been more important.

In today’s blog Liz McKeown gives an update on how we have accelerated our migration statistics transformation plans and are able to give fresh insights into population change since COVID-19 began.

Our latest understanding of changes to population and migration

Separately, we’ve now published an early indicator on the population of the UK in 2020 using modelled migration estimates and provisional data on births and deaths.

Our preliminary analysis suggests the UK population grew to 67.1million to mid-2020 - a 0.5% annual increase from mid-2019 - marking one of the smallest increases seen in the context of historical trends. This reflects a higher number of deaths and a continued decrease in the number of births being offset by a higher level of net international migration.

Early indicators of UK population size and age structure, 2020

Also published today:

International migration: developing our approach for producing admin-based migration estimates

Methods for using the administrative data source RAPID to measure international migration into and out of the UK

Using statistical models to estimate UK international migration in the absence of the International Passenger Survey

Population and Migration Statistics Transformation Overview

Population and Migration Statistics transformation – recent updates

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