The UK Climate Projections (UKCP) is a set of tools and data that shows you how the UK climate may change in the future. On 4 August 2022 we released an update to the UKCP Probabilistic Projections to replace the dataset from November 2018 which includes improvements to the methods for producing the data. This is part of the continual review and improvement of UKCP data products and services.
Data science and artificial intelligence have huge potential to drive forward new advances in weather and climate science to help make society better able to survive and thrive in a changing climate.
Capability in data science within the Met Office has been growing over the last few years, and the Met Office Data Science Framework sets out how we will take the next step forward to help realise the potential of machine learning and artificial intelligence for weather and climate science and services. Our approach will ensure that the Met Office remains resilient, agile and able to respond to the demands, and opportunities, associated with a fast-moving technology, and achieve the goal ‘To harness the power of data science to push the frontiers of weather and climate science and services’, and making society better able to survive and thrive in a changing climate.
On 1 August we shared the July climate statistics, which showed that July 2022 was the driest July in England since 1935, with the UK as a whole seeing just 56% of its average July rainfall.
On 2 August we shared the monthly climate averages and extremes for August on social media. These statistics show the average figures for the month for a number of metrics including temperature, sunshine and rainfall. The driest UK August on record was in 1947, a month which saw just 9.9mm of rainfall on average!
On 28 July, following rigorous quality control testing, including physical inspections, cross-checking of stations, sites and equipment, the Met Office confirmed the UK’s new record-high temperature of 40.3°C at Coningsby, Lincolnshire on 19 July 2022.
We recently published a blog in response to a study which was carried out by the World Weather Attribution on the recent heatwave. The attribution study supported previous Met Office findings that the likelihood of seeing 40°C in the UK has been rapidly increasing and what would once have been an extremely unlikely event without climate change has now become a distinct possibility.
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