December 30 COVID Update

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Michael Dembrow

December 30, 2021

Dear Neighbors and Friends,

I hope that you and your loved ones are doing well, staying healthy, and looking out for your neighbors and friends during this past week.

As 2021 comes to an end, we find ourselves in a continued state of uncertainty, here in Oregon, across the nation, and around the world.  We know for sure that we are in the middle of another COVID wave, the Omicron wave, but the exact nature of this new chapter in the pandemic is still far from clear.  You’ll see in the many articles to which I’ve linked below that there is a fair amount of agreement about some things and much that is still in dispute.  We do know more than we did a week ago, and hopefully we’ll know more by next week.

Thanks to Omicron, COVID case numbers and infection rates are exploding, along with test positivity rates.  Hospitalizations were down earlier in the week, but they appear to be rising again as well, as you’ll see from the graphs at the end of the newsletter.  Though Omicron is causing infection rates to rise among the vaccinated (especially those not yet boosted) as well as the unvaccinated, the vast majority of those hospitalized (and dying) remain among those who are not vaccinated.  OHSU reports that among its COVID patients in the hospital today, 29 were not fully vaccinated and only 8 were vaccinated.  Among the 17 patients currently in the ICU for COVID, 15 were unvaccinated. Of the 14 patients currently on a ventilator, only 1 was vaccinated.

Boosters do appear to be making a difference, which makes it more urgent that we meet the Governor’s goal of getting to 2 million Oregonians boosted ASAP.  We’re making progress—since she announced the goal on December 17, 180,512 Oregonians have received a booster.  But we still have 819,488 to go to reach that goal.

Further down in the newsletter you’ll find the booster rates for different age groups in Oregon, and you’ll also find more information about where to get a booster.

If you’re like me, you know more and more people who have recently been infected.  Hopefully, their cases are relatively mild, but still it’s extremely disruptive and discouraging—particularly for people who have been very, very careful for two years now, yet find themselves infected.  

Actually, it seems likely that we’re going to be moving away from a focus on case counts and more towards a focus on severity, focusing more on hospitalizations than on positive test results and positivity rates.  Since more and more results are coming from home testing—and those are frequently not reported, or only reported when they are positive—it does seem to make sense to focus even more on those indices that we do know with relative certainty: hospitalizations and deaths.  Regarding the latter, fortunately we’re not seeing an increase in deaths, rather the opposite.  However, if Omicron does lead to more deaths, it will take several more weeks for those consequences to play out. Let's hope that's not the case.

As you’ll see in the graphs at the end of the newsletter, I’ve brought back graphs showing the number of COVID hospitalizations, both ICU and non-ICU over the previous two weeks.  It seems important for us to be tracking those numbers on a regular basis.  We are not yet seeing the big increases that were feared and projected a couple of weeks ago, and evidence from South Africa (which began to experience its Omicron surge more than a month ago) suggests now that we may not.  But we obviously need to pay close attention to it. 

As I’m sure you know and appreciate, the pandemic is taking an enormous toll on healthcare workers, both physically and psychologically.  Whatever we can do to reduce the strain and burden on those workers, we must.

Let me close by wishing you and your loved ones a very, very Happy and Healthy New Year.  Please do find a way to celebrate as you are able.

Until the next newsletter, please stay healthy and safe, enjoy the holidays, and let me know if you have any questions about information in tonight’s newsletter. And let’s all do all we can to help bring about a healthier 2022.

12-30

OREGON CORONAVIRUS AND CORONAVIRUS RESPONSE UPDATE

  • New COVID Cases: OHA reports 2,948 new COVID cases today, vs.1,350 last Thursday. That’s an average of 1,528 per day for the last week (vs. 695 per day the previous week). The cumulative number of cases in Oregon since the beginning of the pandemic is 421,263.
  • Variant COVID Cases:
    • OHA is now showing us not only this week’s variant cases but the growth of the different variants in Oregon over time. You can see in the graph above just how the Delta variant has come to dominate cases here in Oregon but Omicron is ramping up now.  This graph is updated every Wednesday.
    • OHA’s Variant Dashboard provides current and new variant case numbers for the state as a whole but also for different parts of the state. It too is updated each Wednesday.
  • Positive Test Results: OHA reported 3,753 positive test results today (vs. 1,786 last Thursday). That’s an average of 2,029 per day for the 7 days since the last newsletter (vs. 1,276 per day the previous week). The cumulative total of positive test results since the beginning of the pandemic is now 571,925.
  • Total Tests: OHA reported an additional 24,212 tests today (vs. 24,466 last Thursday). That’s an average of 17,626 per day for the last week (vs. 22,004 for the previous week). Our cumulative total of reported tests is 8,660,849.
  • Positivity Rate: The test positivity ratio for Oregon today was 15.5% (vs. 7.3% last Thursday). That’s an average of 11.1% per day for the last week (it was 5.7% per day for the previous week). 
  • Hospitalization Information:
    • Patients Currently with Confirmed COVID-19: 440 (101 more than last newsletter)
    • ICU Patients Confirmed w COVID-19: 93 (5 fewer than last newsletter.)
    • Confirmed COVID-19 Patients Currently on Ventilators: 40 (11 fewer than last newsletter)
    • Available Ventilators: 849 (8 fewer than last newsletter).
  • Hospital Capacity:
    • Available ICU Beds: 50 (17 fewer than last newsletter)
    • Other Available Beds: 265 (61 fewer than last newsletter).
  • Here’s a link to more OHA data on hospital capacity.
  • Deaths: I’m sorry to report 15 additional COVID deaths today (vs. 8 last Thursday).  That’s an average of 8 per day for the week since the last newsletter (vs. 10 the previous week). The total number of COVID deaths in Oregon is 5,655.
  • Vaccinations:
    • Today, OHA reported that 18,185 new doses of COVID-19 vaccinations were added to the state immunization registry Dec. 28. Of that total, 1,273 were initial doses, 1,050 were second doses, and 6,570 were third doses and booster doses. The remaining 9,235 were administered on previous days but were entered into the vaccine registry Dec. 28.
    • The seven-day running average is now 13,766 doses per day, down from last week’s 19,391.
    • Total doses administered: 6,730,876.
      • 3,789,744 Pfizer/Comimaty vaccines
      • 161,871 Pfizer Pediatric vaccines (up from 111,760 last week)
      • 2,493,141 Moderna vaccines
      • 255,390 Johnson & Johnson vaccines
    • Total Oregonians vaccinated so far: 3,048,627 (up by 15,690 from last week)
      • 2,766,755 now fully vaccinated with two doses (up by 10,788, a quarter of the increase from the previous week, perhaps due to holiday and weather disruptions)
    • 74% of all Oregonians have received at least one dose
      • 78.2% of those 5 and older
      • 82.8% of those 12 and older
      • 84.3% of those 18 and older
      • 95% of those 65 and older
    • 66.5% of all Oregonians are now fully vaccinated
      • 70.2% of those 5 and older
      • 75% of those 12 and older
      • 76.3% of those 18 and older
      • 89.2% of those 65 and older
    • 39% of all Oregonians have received a booster shot
      • 42.4% of those 18 and older
      • 55.5% of those 50 and older
      • 66.2% of those 65 and older
    • All these percentages are from the CDC Data Tracker.They include vaccinations administered by the VA and Tribal Health Services.
    • For more details, including the demographics of those receiving the vaccine and the number of vaccinations by county, go to the OHA vaccinations dashboard.
    • Bloomberg Newsprovides a wealth of easy-to-read information on the trajectory of vaccinations—by state, nationally, and internationally.

Additional Brief Updates and Links

 

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Looking for a Testing or Vaccination Site?

OHA has just released a list of large, free testing sitesfor you to use.  And here’s a list of  free vaccination and booster sites.

 

Coming Up: January Legislative Days (and February Session Soon After)

The week after next the Legislature will metaphorically convene in Salem for a series of committee hearings for the last of our so-called “Interim Leg Days” prior to the 2022 session in February.  I say “metaphorically” because sadly this will again be a series of remote committee meetings.  We had hoped that these would be in person and were planning for that, but Omicron has put a big wrench in those works.  That decision was just announced this afternoon.  We’re still hoping for in-person committee hearings in February.

January Leg Days will be the week of January 10th, with committees meeting on Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday, and various task forces and work groups meeting on Monday and Friday. Here's the schedule for all of the hearings. Agendas for these meetings will start to be posted starting the middle of next week.  You’ll find them on olis.oregonlegislature.gov (click on Committees and go to the committee you want) when they begin to be uploaded.  I’ll have more info about them in next week’s newsletter. 

Another feature of these Leg Days will be the introduction of the Committee Bills that will be in play during the short 2022 session.  Each committee gets to introduce three bills this session, and they will be presented during the Leg Days hearings.  In order for them to be introduced, the committee will need to vote to allow that to happen.  Generally, this is a pro form vote, designed simply to get a bill into the legislative queue, but sometimes on the more controversial issues, individual legislators will choose to vote against even their introduction.

What this means is that we should start seeing committee bills beginning to be posted on OLIS (the legislative website) next week.  They are due back from the legal drafters in the next few days.  I’ll have more to report next week.

Regarding the February session, we’ve just received the committee calendar for the session. Here it is.

 

Weekly County Report: County and Statewide Numbers Show the Effects of Omicron

The latest OHA county report, showing weekly increases/decreases in COVID spread for each county and for the state as a whole, was released on Monday. It shows case counts and rates for the last four weeks, including the week that ended Sunday, December 26.

The news this week reveals the impact of Omicron on most (though not all) of the state.

This report shows that the statewide infection and test positivity rates have risen substantially again, especially in the more urban areas (reflecting a higher level of testing?)  Unlike last week, where the test positivity rate remained under 5% for nearly all counties, this week nearly all are over 5%, with the state as a whole jumping nearly three percentage points to 7.8%.

The most shocking turnaround is in Multnomah County, among the very lowest counties just two weeks ago, and now among the counties with the highest rates.  It is seeing very high case numbers each day and has moved into High Risk category, along with a test positivity rate of 7%.

With a number of options for testing in the Metro area, along Omicron’s very high transmission rate even for those who have been fully vaccinated, it’s not surprising to see such high rates, as we are in most of America’s larger cities. So far, however, this increase in cases is not accompanied by a parallel increase in hospitalizations.

 

For Second Week in a Row, Statewide Increase in Cases, Decrease in Hospitalizations and Deaths

OHA’s COVID-19 Weekly Report, released on Wednesday, again showed higher daily cases but declines in COVID-19 related hospitalizations and deaths. 

  • OHA reported 6,987 new cases of COVID-19 during the week of Monday, Dec. 21, through Sunday, Dec. 27. That is a 25% increase over the previous week. That was despite a 7.1% decline in reported test results for the week. 
  • There were 136,789 tests for COVID-19 for the week of Dec. 19 through Dec. 25, down from 147,233 tests the week before.
  • The percentage of positive tests increased to 7.4%, from 4.8% the previous week. 
  • There were 185 new COVID-19 related hospitalizations, compared to 286 last week — a 35% drop. That marked the lowest weekly total since the week of July 19 through July 25. 
  • There were 89 reported COVID-19-related deaths, down from 114 reported the previous week. 

Today’s COVID-19 Weekly Outbreak Report shows 48 active COVID-19 outbreaks in senior living communities and congregate living settings, down from 53 the previous week,

1/13/21         202 facilities

2/10/21         116 facilities

3/10/21            44 facilities

4/14/21            24 facilities

5/12/21            42 facilities

6/09/21            19 facilities

7/8/21              22 facilities

8/4/21              33 facilities

9/1/21            144 facilities

9/9/21           188 facilities

10/6/21         163 facilities

11/3/21           87 facilities

12/1/21            54 facilities

12/8/21            54 facilities

12/15/21          54 facilities

12/22/21          53 facilities

12/29/21           48 facilities

The total number of deaths for people in congregate care

8/4      1,374 (pandemic total)      

8/11    1,385 (pandemic total)       +11

9/1      1,441 (pandemic total)       +22

10/6    1,574 (pandemic total)       +27

11/03   1,701 (pandemic total)      +29

11/24  1,826 (pandemic total)       +36

12/1    1,847 (pandemic total)       +21

12/8    1,863 (pandemic total)       +16

12/15  1,890 (pandemic total)      +27

12/22  1,912 (pandemic total)       +22    

12.29   1,922 (pandemic total)      +10

The Outbreak Report also includes the latest data on COVID in workplaces, childcare centers, and public and private K-12 schools. 

 

Growing Share of Breakthrough COVID Cases Reflects Impact of Omicron

OHA’s most recent update on COVID-19 breakthrough cases, released today, reported 6,993 cases of COVID-19 during the week of Dec. 19 to Dec. 25.  Of those cases, 2,567, or 36.7%, were vaccine breakthrough cases, a sizeable reduction from the previous week’s 29.4%.

The latest breakthrough report can be found here.

Fifteen breakthrough cases involved residents of care facilities, senior living communities or other congregate care settings, a slight decrease from last week’s 16. There were 137 cases in young people aged 12 to 17, a large increase from last week’s 73. 

Cases of COVID-19 continue to remain far more common in unvaccinated people, though somewhat less so as a result of Omicron . The report shows that the rate of COVID-19 in unvaccinated people is now three times higher than in vaccinated people, down from a difference of four times.  To date, there have been 53,604 COVID-19 vaccine breakthrough cases in Oregon out of a total of 421,263.

Where the vaccines really make a difference is in preventing serious COVID cases.  Nearly all breakthrough cases show no symptoms, or symptoms that are relatively mild.  Just 4.3% of the relatively small number of vaccine breakthrough cases have been hospitalized and just 1.2% (down from 1.3%) have died.

Serious breakthrough cases are generally found in people who are aged and infirm, and who are not as responsive to the vaccine as younger people are.  The average age of vaccinated people who died remains 81. 

To date, more than 3 million Oregonians have received at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine. 

 

And the Deaths:

Here is information about the 57 additional deaths that have been reported since last Thursday’s newsletter, down from 71 the previous week, and less than a third of the number the week before that.

Friday, December 24, through Monday, December 27

Oregon’s 5,599th COVID-19 related death is a 91-year-old woman from Deschutes County who died Aug. 18 at her residence.

Oregon’s 5,600th COVID-19 related death is a 44-year-old woman from Clackamas County who tested positive Nov. 20 and died Nov. 22 at Legacy Mount Hood Medical Center.

Oregon’s 5,601st COVID-19 related death is a 55-year-old man from Yamhill County who tested positive Nov. 9 and died Nov. 27 at Providence St. Vincent Medical Center.

Oregon’s 5,602nd COVID-19 related death is a 69-year-old man from Umatilla County who tested positive Oct. 5 and died Nov. 1 at Providence Portland Medical Center.

Oregon’s 5,603rd COVID-19 related death is a 90-year-old woman from Clackamas County who tested positive Oct. 16 and died Nov. 11 at her residence.

Oregon’s 5,604th COVID-19 related death is an 80-year-old woman from Yamhill County who tested positive Oct. 21 and died Nov. 7 at her residence.

Oregon’s 5,605th COVID-19 related death is a 48-year-old man from Deschutes County who tested positive Oct. 25 and died Nov. 4 at St. Charles Bend.

Oregon’s 5,606th COVID-19 related death is a 95-year-old man from Deschutes County who tested positive Oct. 25 and died Nov. 4 at his residence.

Oregon’s 5,607th COVID-19 related death is a 78-year-old woman from Clackamas County who tested positive Nov. 2 and died Nov. 10 at Providence Willamette Falls Medical Center.

Oregon’s 5,608th COVID-19 related death is a 79-year-old man from Linn County who tested positive Nov. 5 and died Nov. 12 at Samaritan Lebanon Community Hospital.

Oregon’s 5,609th COVID-19 related death is a 74-year-old woman from Linn County who tested positive Nov. 10 and died Nov. 10 at her residence.

Oregon’s 5,610th COVID-19 related death is a 51-year-old man from Clackamas County who tested positive Nov. 1 and died Nov. 11 at Providence Portland Medical Center.

Oregon’s 5,611th COVID-19 related death is a 64-year-old woman from Marion County who tested positive Nov. 10 and died Nov. 10 at her residence.

Oregon’s 5,612th COVID-19 related death is a 93-year-old woman from Josephine County who tested positive Dec. 13 and died Dec. 23 at her residence.

Oregon’s 5,613th COVID-19 related death is a 65-year-old man from Jackson County who died May 11 at his residence. \

Oregon’s 5,614th COVID-19 related death is a 92-year-old man from Jackson County who tested positive Dec. 22 and died Dec. 24 at Providence Medford Medical Center.

Oregon’s 5,615th COVID-19 related death is a 47-year-old man from Jackson County who tested positive Dec. 13 and died Dec. 22 at Providence Medford Medical Center.

Oregon’s 5,616th COVID-19 related death is an 80-year-old man from Jackson County who tested positive Dec. 9 and died Dec. 22 at Asante Three Rivers Medical Center.

Oregon’s 5,617th COVID-19 related death is a 62-year-old woman from Douglas County who tested positive Dec. 16 and died Dec. 23 at Mercy Medical Center.

Oregon’s 5,618th COVID-19 related death is a 68-year-old woman from Douglas County who tested positive Dec. 8 and died Dec. 18; location of death is being confirmed.

Oregon’s 5,619th COVID-19 related death is a 69-year-old man from Douglas County who tested positive Nov. 7 and died Dec. 22 at Mercy Medical Center.

Oregon’s 5,620th COVID-19 related death is a 95-year-old woman from Washington County who tested positive Nov. 28 and died Dec. 19 at her residence.

Oregon’s 5,621st COVID-19 related death is an 82-year-old woman from Lane County who tested positive Dec. 6 and died Dec. 22 at McKenzie-Willamette Medical Center.

Oregon’s 5,622nd COVID-19 related death is an 88-year-old woman from Klamath County who tested positive Dec. 13 and died Dec. 23 at Sky Lakes Medical Center.

Oregon’s 5,623rd COVID-19 related death is a 49-year-old man from Klamath County who tested positive Nov. 24 and died Dec. 21 at Sky Lakes Medical Center.

Oregon’s 5,624th COVID-19-related death is a 74-year-old man from Josephine County who tested positive Dec. 19 and died Dec. 26 at Asante Three Rivers Medical Center. 

Oregon’s 5,625th COVID-19-related death is a 74-year-old man from Jackson County who tested positive Dec. 11 and died Dec. 26 at Providence Medford Medical Center. 

Oregon’s 5,626th COVID-19-related death is a 78-year-old woman from Jackson County who tested positive Dec. 11 and died Dec. 26 at Asante Rogue Regional Medical Center. 

Oregon’s 5,627th COVID-19-related death is a 71-year-old man from Deschutes County who died Nov. 7 at his residence. The death certificate listed COVID-19 disease or SARS-CoV-2 as a cause of death or a significant condition contributing to death. 

Oregon’s 5,628th COVID-19-related death is a 66-year-old man from Clackamas County who tested positive Dec. 4 and died Dec. 26. 

Oregon’s 5,629th COVID-19-related death is a 68-year-old man from Marion County who tested positive Dec. 2 and died Dec. 25 at Salem Hospital. 

Oregon’s 5,630th COVID-19-related death is a 53-year-old woman from Linn County who tested positive Dec. 10 and died Dec. 26 at Good Samaritan Regional Medical Center. 

Oregon’s 5,631st COVID-19-related death is a 67-year-old woman from Klamath County who tested positive Nov. 29 and died Dec. 26 at Sky Lakes Medical Center. 

Wednesday, December 29

Oregon’s 5,632nd COVID-19 related death is a 70-year-old man from Polk County who tested positive Dec. 9 and died Dec. 26 at Salem Hospital.

Oregon’s 5,633rd COVID-19 related death is an 86-year-old man from Multnomah County who tested positive Dec. 23 and died Dec. 28 at Legacy Emanuel Medical Center.

Oregon’s 5,634th COVID-19 related death is an 85-year-old man from Multnomah County who tested positive Dec. 15 and died Dec. 24 at Legacy Mt. Hood Medical Center.

Oregon’s 5,635th COVID-19 related death is a 73-year-old woman from Marion County who tested positive Dec. 11 and died Dec. 22 at Salem Hospital.

Oregon’s 5,636th COVID-19 related death is a 74-year-old woman from Josephine County who tested positive Dec. 2 and died Dec. 27 at Providence Medford Medical Center.

Oregon’s 5,637th COVID-19 related death is a 91-year-old woman from Josephine County who tested positive Dec. 21 and died Dec. 27 at Asante Three Rivers Medical Center.

Oregon’s 5,638th COVID-19 related death is an 83-year-old man from Josephine County who tested positive Oct. 15 and died Nov. 26 at Asante Three Rivers Medical Center.

Oregon’s 5,639th COVID-19 related death is an 88-year-old man from Coos County who tested positive Nov. 29 and died Dec. 26 at Bay Area Hospital.

Oregon’s 5,640th COVID-19 related death is a 78-year-old man from Clackamas County who tested positive Dec. 15 and died Dec. 23 at Providence Willamette Falls Medical Center.

Thursday, December 30

Oregon’s 5,641st COVID-19 related death is a 60-year-old man from Clackamas County who tested positive Sept. 7 and died Nov. 18 at Providence Portland Medical Center.

Oregon’s 5,642nd COVID-19 related death is a 68-year-old man from Jackson County who tested positive Dec. 12 and died Dec. 28 at Asante Rogue Regional Medical Center.

Oregon’s 5,643rd COVID-19 related death is a 52-year-old man from Coos County who tested positive Nov. 26 and died Dec. 19 at Providence St. Vincent Medical Center.

Oregon’s 5,644th COVID-19 related death is a 93-year-old woman from Clatsop County who tested positive Dec. 20 and died Dec. 27.

Oregon’s 5,645th COVID-19 related death is an 84-year-old woman from Coos County who tested positive Nov. 21. Date of death and place of death are being confirmed.

Oregon’s 5,646th COVID-19 related death is a 48-year-old man from Clackamas County who tested positive Nov. 8 and died Dec. 26 at Kaiser Sunnyside Medical Center.

Oregon’s 5,647th COVID-19 related death is a 78-year-old woman from Coos County who tested positive Dec. 15 and died Dec. 24 at OHSU.

Oregon’s 5,648th COVID-19 related death is a 97-year-old woman from Lane County who tested positive Dec. 26 and died Dec. 27 at PeaceHealth Sacred Heart Medical Center at RiverBend.

Oregon’s 5,649th COVID-19 related death is a 61-year-old man from Tillamook County who tested positive Dec. 29 and died Dec. 29.

Oregon’s 5,650th COVID-19 related death is a 63-year-old man from Klamath County who tested positive Dec. 20 and died Dec. 28 at Sky Lakes Medical Center.

Oregon’s 5,651st COVID-19 related death is a 58-year-old man from Marion County who tested positive Nov. 27 and died Dec. 12.

Oregon’s 5,652nd COVID-19 related death is a 94-year-old woman from Washington County who tested positive Dec. 23 and died Dec. 28 at Legacy Meridian Park Medical Center.

Oregon’s 5,653rd COVID-19 related death is a 62-year-old woman from Washington County who tested positive Dec. 1 and died Dec. 12 at Providence St. Vincent Medical Center.

Oregon’s 5,654th COVID-19 related death is a 74-year-old man from Union County who tested positive Dec. 12 and died Dec. 28 at Grande Ronde Hospital.

Oregon’s 5,655th COVID-19 related death is a 63-year-old man from Klamath County who tested positive Dec. 16 and died Dec. 29 at Providence Medford Medical Center.

 

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Want to See Past Newsletters?

If there was COVID-related information in a past newsletter that you want to go back to, but find you’ve deleted it, you can always go to my legislative website (senatordembrow.com), click on “News and Information,” and you’ll find them all there.  Also, if someone forwarded you this newsletter and you’d like to get it directly, you can sign up for it there.

 

AND FINALLY,

Here again are some resources that you will find useful

If the above links are not providing you with answers to your questions or directing you to the help that you need, please consider me and my office to be a resource.  We’ll do our best to assist you or steer you in the right direction.

Best,

dembrow signature

Senator Michael Dembrow
District 23


email: Sen.MichaelDembrow@oregonlegislature.gov
web: www.senatordembrow.com
phone: 503-281-0608
mail: 900 Court St NE, S-407, Salem, OR, 97301