News Release: After extensive review, Minnesota Commerce Department releases expert analysis and recommendation on the certificate of need for Enbridge’s proposed Line 3 oil pipeline project

Having trouble viewing this email? View it as a Web page.   Bookmark and Share 


commerce department logo
news release header image

 September 11, 2017

After extensive review, Minnesota Commerce Department releases expert analysis and recommendation on the certificate of need for Enbridge’s proposed Line 3 oil pipeline project

Oil market analysis indicates that Enbridge has not established a need for the proposed project; the pipeline would primarily benefit areas outside Minnesota; and serious environmental and socioeconomic risks and effects outweigh limited benefits

For Immediate Release

SAINT PAUL – Today, the Minnesota Department of Commerce submitted testimony to the Minnesota Public Utilities Commission (PUC) on Enbridge’s certificate of need application for its proposed new Line 3 oil pipeline project.

Supplemented by an oil market analysis from an independent energy consultant and a study of potential insurance coverage issues from an insurance expert, the comprehensive 338-page testimony concludes that Enbridge has not established a need for the proposed project in Minnesota as required under state rules.

The Commerce Department testimony, oil market analysis and insurance study are intended to inform the PUC’s decision-making on Enbridge’s proposed project. All documents are available on the Commerce Department’s Line 3 webpage.

Minnesota rules define specific criteria required to demonstrate the need for a large energy project such as the proposed new Line 3 project. These criteria include whether the project is needed for the “future adequacy, reliability and efficiency of energy supply.” Among the factors to be considered is the accuracy of the applicant’s forecast of demand for oil that would be supplied by the proposed pipeline, as well as the ability of current and planned facilities to meet future demand.

The oil market analysis prepared by London Economics International, a global energy economics consulting firm, finds that refineries in Minnesota and the Upper Midwest “have been operating at high levels of utilization, which indicates both they are not short of physical supplies of crude oil, and that they have little room to increase total crude runs.” The analysis also notes that Enbridge did not provide a sufficient analysis of future demand, and independently finds that “Minnesota demand for refined products appears unlikely to increase in the long term.”

Noting the recent expansions of Enbridge’s Line 67 pipeline, the Commerce Department testimony also points out that the “increased capacity on Line 67 is equivalent to Enbridge’s stated need to increase capacity on Line 3.” The testimony states that “it appears that the increases in the capacity of Enbridge’s Line 67, which were granted certificates of need, are already meeting that need.”

The testimony also reviews other existing and planned pipelines in Canada and the U.S. and finds that they might be reasonable alternatives to a new Line 3, if a need is demonstrated.

The testimony goes on to say that, “in light of the serious risks and effects on the natural and socioeconomic environments of the existing Line 3 and the limited benefit that the existing Line 3 provides to Minnesota refineries, it is reasonable to conclude that Minnesota would be better off if Enbridge proposed to cease operations of the existing Line 3, without any new pipeline being built.” 

In addition, the testimony analyzes what conditions the PUC should require if it does issue a certificate of need. These include a stronger emergency response plan; a more secure backup control center; thicker pipe throughout the length of the route; back-up power for shut-off valves; and insurance coverage and financial protections for clean-up of a major release and for decommissioning the pipeline at the end of its useful life.

The testimony also recommends that if a certificate of need is issued, regardless of its decision about removal of the existing Line 3 for its entire right-of-way, the PUC should (where it has regulatory authority) require Enbridge to remove all 223 segments (8,496 feet) of exposed pipeline in Minnesota.

The testimony draws on a wide range of information sources. These include Enbridge’s own project application with expert testimony and responses to information requests, as well as the independent oil market analysis, the insurance study and the environmental impact statement prepared for the proposed project.

Next Steps in Process

Minnesotans will have the opportunity to offer input on the proposed Line 3 project during a public comment period this fall, including a series of public hearings presided over by an administrative law judge (ALJ) from the Office of Administrative Hearings. At the public hearings, the public will be able to submit comments, present evidence and ask questions about the proposed project. A formal notice of the public comment period, with hearing dates and locations, is posted on the PUC website.

In November, the ALJ will also hold an evidentiary hearing in Saint Paul for testimony and cross-examination of witnesses by the official parties to the proceeding.

After these hearings, the ALJ will submit a report to the PUC with findings of facts, conclusions of law and recommendations about issuing a certificate of need and a route permit for the proposed project.

To issue the certificate of need, the PUC determines if the project is in the state’s best interest. If the PUC grants the certificate of need, it then determines the most appropriate route for the project.

Based on its current schedule, the PUC is expected to decide on Enbridge’s certificate of need and route permit applications in the spring of 2018.

Enbridge is also required to secure other permits from federal and state entities, as well as approvals from various tribal and local entities for activities, related to constructing and operating the project.

Background of Expert Witnesses

David Dybdahl, Jr., is President of American Risk Management Resource Network, LLC. Dybdahl has extensive experience as an expert in environmental risk management and insurance, which includes advising and providing technical information on environmental insurance to the U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, U.S. Department of Justice and U.S. Department of Energy.

Dybdahl holds bachelor’s and master’s degrees in risk management and insurance from the University of Wisconsin, where he has been a guest lecturer on environmental risk management and insurance for over 35 years.

Marie Fagan is Managing Consultant and Lead Economist at London Economics International, LLC. Fagin has over 25 years of experience in research and consulting for the energy sector, spanning international upstream and downstream oil and gas, global coal, North American gas markets, and North American power markets. Fagan leads LEI’s oil and natural gas market analyses, directing pipeline modeling efforts based on a sophisticated network model.

Fagan received a bachelor’s degree in finance from the University of Connecticut and a Ph.D. in economics from American University in Washington, DC. She is the author of original research with publications in academic and industry journals.

Kate O’Connell serves as Manager of the Energy Regulation and Planning Unit for the Minnesota Department of Commerce’s Division of Energy Resources. O’Connell has master’s degrees in applied economics and statistics, both from the University of Minnesota. She began working for the Commerce Department in 1985 as a Public Utilities Statistical Analyst, later becoming a Public Utilities Rates Analyst. In 1999, O’Connell became a Public Utilities Rates Evaluation Supervisor and was promoted to Public Utility Regulation Unit Manager – the position she holds today.

For more than 30 years, O’Connell has worked on a wide range of energy regulatory financial and rates issues in the natural gas, electricity and petroleum industries. She has extensive experience providing expert witness testimony in numerous energy matters, including significant involvement in the Commerce Department’s analysis and testimony in recent crude oil pipeline projects.

Background on Enbridge’s Proposed Line 3 Project

Enbridge is proposing to construct a new oil pipeline in Minnesota that would follow the existing Line 3 pipeline from the North Dakota border near Hallock to an Enbridge terminal in Clearbrook. From Clearbrook eastward, the proposed pipeline would follow a new right-of-way, south of the existing Line 3, ending at an existing terminal in Superior, Wisconsin. Enbridge has proposed that the existing Line 3 would be decommissioned and left in place after the new pipeline is installed and operational.

 The existing Line 3 operates at an annual average capacity of 390,000 barrels per day. The proposed new Line 3 would have a capacity of 844,000 barrels per day. 

Media Contact

Ross Corson
Director of Communications
Minnesota Department of Commerce
p: 651-539-1463 | c: 651-368-5050 |