Presidential Primary Ballot Order
Presidential Primary Ballot Order
When determining the number of ballots to order for the administration of the Presidential Primary, you must make two decisions:
1) The total quantity of ballots your jurisdiction needs; and
2) How the ballot quantity total should be divided between the two-or three–ballot types needed by the jurisdiction. (Note: You do not need to order an equal number of Democratic Party ballots, Republican Party ballots and special election ballots for “No Party Declaration” voters.)
Turnout in this presidential primary could be difficult to project given that the Republican Primary includes a small number of candidates (with an incumbent president), while the Democratic Primary includes a large number of candidates with no incumbent. Additionally, Michigan has already received a lot of attention and we expect this attention to grow and intensify as 2020 unfolds, with both major parties prioritizing the state. You should still look to turnout in the 2016 Presidential Primary election to help guide your decisions, but because the length of the candidate lists is opposite of what occurred in 2016 and there is an incumbent running, you may also want to utilize the turnout numbers in your jurisdiction in the 2016 or 2018 August Primary elections as well.
Note, the statewide turnout for the 2016 Presidential Primary was 35 percent and some jurisdictions ran out of or ran very low on ballots.
We offer the following suggested formulas to assist with the above decisions. While we offer the formulas as general guidance on these matters, we strongly emphasize that the county is solely responsible and accountable for all ballot ordering decisions. If there are any unique or unusual circumstances that could impact the quantity or type of ballots needed by a jurisdiction, it is important that the county give full consideration to these factors and adjust the suggested formulas as appropriate.
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Estimating total ballot quantities: When estimating the number of ballots needed by a jurisdiction, start with the turnout in the jurisdiction for the March 8, 2016 Presidential Primary and increase the largest turnout number by at least 25 percent. Increase the quantity by more than 25 percent if deemed necessary.
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Determining how the ballot quantity total should be divided by ballot type: When determining the number of ballots to order, careful consideration must be given to the partisan composition of the jurisdiction and the anticipated number of voters participating in the special election only (if the jurisdiction is conducting any local elections in conjunction with the Presidential Primary). As a starting point for estimating the number of Republican Party ballots which will be needed, take the total Republican Party turnout in the jurisdiction for the March 8, 2016 Presidential Primary, or the turnout statistics for Republican candidates in the respective election you are utilizing, and increase this figure by at least 25 percent. Take the total Democratic Party turnout in the jurisdiction for the March 8, 2016 Presidential Primary, or the turnout statistics for Democratic candidates in the respective election you are utilizing, and increase this figure by at least 25 percent.
Increase the party turnout figures by more than 25 percent if deemed necessary.
- Also keep in mind – costs attributable to the Presidential Primary are reimbursable. Note, however, that costs for a third “No Party Declaration” ballot for use with the local special elections only are not reimbursable. We cannot over-emphasize the importance of having enough ballots on Election Day; of course, having too many ballots is much preferred over having too few. However, please do not order an unreasonable amount, such as 200 percent of your registered voters. We will only reimburse for a reasonable number.
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