Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, June 17, 2026
Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 06/17/2026 10:25 AM EDT
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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Yet another wet and unsettled day is expected across the Florida Panhandle as tropical moisture associated with Potential Tropical Cyclone ONE is pulled across these areas.
- Like yesterday, numerous and repeated rounds of generally east-northeastward moving showers and thunderstorms are anticipated across nearly the entire day.
- High rain chances (70-90%) are outlooked across much of the Panhandle today as a result.
- Current radar imagery is already tracking scattered showers and storms across the Panhandle and Northeast Florida this morning, with coverage and intensity only expected to increase in the daylight hours.
- Heavy rainfalls already observed in recent days have lowered 1-hr flash flood guidance values across much of the SE U.S..
- Given these factors, the Weather Prediction Center has issued a Slight Risk (level 2 of 4) for Flash Flooding within the Western Panhandle and a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) within the Central and Eastern Panhandle regions and portions of Northeast Florida.
- Here, repeated rounds of locally heavy downpours over already saturated soils may lead to instances of flooding and ponding of water, especially in urban and poor drainage locations.
- Isolated instances of flash flooding cannot be ruled out, especially in the Western Panhandle.
- Rainfall amounts will generally add up to near 1-3” for most locations.
- However, locally higher amounts upwards of 3-5” cannot be ruled out in areas that see multiple rounds of heavy downpours.
- Elsewhere in the state, slow-moving sea breeze showers and storms will develop this afternoon along the I-95 corridor (30-50% chance of rain).
- A Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding is outlooked across Southeast Florida for isolated instances of urban flooding and ponding of water in areas that see locally higher rainfall amounts.
- Highs will struggle to climb out of the middle to upper 80s across the Panhandle and Big Bend due to cloud cover and rainfall.
- Highs will soar into the lower to middle 90s elsewhere statewide.
- Peak afternoon heat indices will top out in the lower to middle 100s throughout the Peninsula and a Heat Advisory is in effect until 6 PM EDT this afternoon for the Miami/Fort Lauderdale metro region.
- Tonight, some lingering showers and storms may remain across the Panhandle (40-65%), although with generally less coverage than last night.
- Any lingering activity along the I-95 corridor will dissipate or move offshore by midnight (15-30% chance of rain).
- Lows will fall into the middle 70s to lower 80s statewide overnight.
- A moderate to high risk for rip currents are expected for all Panhandle beaches today. A moderate risk for rip currents is expected for West-Central and East-Central beaches, with low risks for all other beaches.
- According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 50 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 12,600 acres.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.