Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, September 13th, 2025
Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 09/13/2025 10:01 AM EDT
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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Tropical moisture will linger around South Florida today as a frontal boundary pushes through, promoting scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon during peak heating hours (50-75% chance of rain).
- The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding across far Southeast Florida for localized flash flooding.
- Multiple days of heavy rainfall have resulted in saturated soils and additional rainfall may lead to an earlier onset to flooding, especially in urban locations.
- Up the I-95 corridor along the East Coast, onshore winds will provide enough moisture to stream in off the Atlantic to produce isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon (30-50% chance of rain).
- Breezy conditions are expected across coastal Northeast Florida where a Wind Advisory is in effect until 8pm this evening.
- Northeast winds of 15-25 mph, with gusts upwards of 40 mph, are expected this afternoon especially along the First Coast beaches.
- A few isolated showers are possible along the I-75 corridor but enough dry air will filter in to inhibit increased activity (15-25% chance of rain).
- Over the Panhandle and Suwannee Valley, dry conditions will prevail with sunny skies.
- High temperatures will remain in the middle 80s to lower 90s statewide this afternoon.
- Dry conditions will keep heat index values near or even below the actual temperatures this afternoon across North Florida.
- Humidity will remain elevated across South and Central Florida with feels like temperatures nearing the lower to middle 90s.
- Showers and thunderstorms will linger throughout the evening and into the overnight hours along portions of the East Coast (30-45% chance of rain), dry elsewhere.
- Low temperatures will fall into the lower 60s across North Florida and the Panhandle where some isolated patchy fog is possible in low lying areas by daybreak.
- Lower to middle 70s can be expected across South and Central Florida overnight.
- A moderate to high risk for rip currents can be expected nearly statewide today.
- Wave heights of 4-6’are expected for Florida East Coast beaches, with some surf upwards of 8' in the surf zone for First Coast beaches.
- Minor coastal and tidal flooding will continue along the St. Johns River and the First Coast due to elevated surf, tides, and onshore winds, and Coastal Flood Advisories remain in effect.
- Nuisance and minor coastal/saltwater flooding will be possible for portions of the Palm Beach, Broward, and Miami-Dade County coastlines and Upper Keys - a Coastal Flood Statement is in effect.
- The St. Johns River at Astor remains within minor to moderate flood stage due to trapped tides and northerly winds.
- From the National Hurricane Center (NHC):
- Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave located near the Cabo Verde Island is producing limited showers and thunderstorms over the far eastern Atlantic. Dry and stable air will likely limit development over the next few days, but a tropical depression could form by the middle to latter part of next week while moving west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the central tropical Atlantic.
- Formation chance through the next 48 hours... low..near-0%.
- Formation chance through the next 7 days... medium...50%.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.