Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, September 6th, 2025
Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 09/06/2025 10:03 AM EDT
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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Another wet and unsettled day is expected for the Peninsula as a weak stationary front and ample tropical moisture promote scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms this afternoon.
- A few showers and embedded thunderstorms are already moving onshore the Southwest Florida coast this morning, and additional rounds of activity will continue throughout the day (70-90% chance of rain).
- A bit more scattered activity will initiate along the sea breezes across Central and Northeast Florida as well (50-70% chance of rain).
- With recent heavy rainfall, some localized areas may be prone to flash flooding and ponding of water, especially in urban and poor-drainage locations, as well as areas with saturated soils and grounds.
- The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) has outlooked another Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding across South and Central Florida today.
- Most locations will see 1-2" of rainfall with any showers or thunderstorms, with locally higher amounts of 3-4".
- Mostly dry conditions will persist throughout the Panhandle; however, a shower or embedded thunderstorm cannot be ruled out for the Big Bend and Nature Coast along the sea breeze (15-35% chance of rain).
- Some breezy onshore winds may bring gusts of 15-20 mph for portions of the First and Space Coasts throughout the day.
- High temperatures will remain in the upper 80s to middle 90s across the state this afternoon.
- Heat index values throughout the Peninsula and Panhandle will remain in the upper 90s. Some lower to middle 100s may be reached in localized areas across the Suwannee Valley and Northeast Florida.
- Showers and thunderstorms will continue through the evening hours across the Peninsula before dissipating after midnight (40-70% chance of rain).
- Some patchy fog may develop in low-lying areas across Northeast Florida and the Big Bend towards daybreak.
- Low temperatures will remain in the middle to upper 70s across the state overnight.
- A moderate risk for rip currents will continue for Panhandle and East Coast beaches.
- A Coastal Flood Statement is in effect for the upper Florida Keys for minor saltwater flooding near and during times of high tide.
- A River Flood Warning remains in effect for the St. Johns River at Astor as water levels have remained in minor flood stage.
- From the National Hurricane Center (NHC):
- Tropical Atlantic (91L): A tropical wave over the central tropical Atlantic is producing a small area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are only marginally favorable for development, and the chances of becoming a tropical depression are decreasing. The wave is expected to move westward at 10 to 15 mph and will likely be near the Lesser Antilles by the middle part of next week.
- Formation chance through 48 hours... low...30%.
- Formation chance through 7 days... low...30%.
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