Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, August 28th, 2025
Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 08/28/2025 10:03 AM EDT
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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Tropical moisture and the daily sea breeze boundaries will promote afternoon shower and thunderstorm development across the Peninsula today (60-80% chance of rain).
- A predominate West Coast sea breeze will keep showers and thunderstorms mainly over the interior Peninsula and East Coast during peak heating hours of the day.
- Some of these embedded locally strong to severe thunderstorms will be capable of producing frequent lightning, gusty winds (40-50 mph), and heavy downpours.
- Although there is no organized risk for flash flooding, any areas that experience prolonged thunderstorms may see localized street flooding or ponding of water.
- A dry airmass will remain over the Panhandle keeping rainfall chances very low through at least today (10-20% chance of rain).
- High temperatures throughout the state will remain in the upper 80s to lower 90s this afternoon.
- Drier conditions will keep heat index values in the lower to middle 90s across North Florida, while muggy conditions will keep heat index values in the upper 90s to middle 100s throughout Central and South Florida.
- Shower and thunderstorm activity will generally taper off throughout the evening and overnight hours leading to mostly dry conditions, with some lingering showers and thunderstorms over the Treasure and Space Coast (30-60% chance of rain).
- Low temperatures will fall back into the lower 70s across North Florida and middle to upper 70s throughout Central and South Florida.
- From the National Hurricane Center (NHC):
- Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave is forecast to emerge off the west coast of Africa Sunday. Thereafter, environmental conditions could support some slow development of this system while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph, moving across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic next week. Formation chances are low (near-0%) through the next 48 hours and low (20%) through the next 7 days.
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