Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, August 7th, 2025
Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 08/07/2025 10:03 AM EDT
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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Another wet and active weather day is on tap across the Sunshine state as the decaying frontal boundary remains draped across Northeast and East-Central Florida today.
- This will help to focus the greatest chance of rain across interior northeast Florida and the Suwannee River Valley in tandem with a predominate Atlantic sea breeze (80-90% chance of rain).
- The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) has outlooked much of North Florida under a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding today, extending south to SR 40 and the Nature Coast.
- Recent heavy rainfall and slow-moving storms today will promote localized flash flooding and ponding of water, especially in urban and poor drainage locations.
- 1-2" of rain is expected in any showers and thunderstorms with locally higher amounts of 3-5" possible in any areas that receive prolonged or repeated rounds of thunderstorms.
- Scattered showers and thunderstorms are moving onshore the Space Coast and additional showers and thunderstorms will initiate across interior portions of the Peninsula with the help of daytime heating this afternoon, slowly moving westward throughout the day (60-85% chance of rain).
- Any thunderstorm across the state could become locally strong to severe and capable of producing frequent lightning, gusty winds, and heavy downpours.
- Relatively cooler temperatures are expected statewide compared to previous days with abundant cloud cover and elevated rain chances, though hot and humid conditions will still be around.
- Afternoon high temperatures will climb into the upper 80s to middle 90s statewide as heat index values remain capped in the middle 90s to lower 100s.
- Showers and thunderstorms will linger over the coastlines this evening before moving offshore and gradually dissipating after midnight (50-60% chance of rain).
- Low temperatures will reach into the lower to upper 70s statewide.
- There is a moderate to high risk for rip currents along the Florida East Coast. A moderate rip current risk continues for numerous Panhandle beaches.
- From the National Hurricane Center:
- Tropical Storm Dexter: As of 5:00 AM AST, Dexter is located about 425 miles South of Newfoundland and moving east-northeastward at 18 mph. This motion is expected to continue over the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are at 50 mph with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours as the system becomes extratropical. Dexter poses no direct threat to Florida.
- Off the Southeast U.S. : A weak area of low pressure located a couple hundred miles off the coast of the southeastern U.S. is producing minimal showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development is possible over the weekend while the system meanders northward, remaining well off the east coast of the U.S. By early next week, the low is expected to become extratropical, ending its chances for development. This system poses no direct threat to Florida at this time; however, it could bring elevated rain chances and rip currents along portions of the East Coast later in the week and into the weekend.
- *Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0%.
- *Formation chance through 7 days…low…30%.
- Central Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave over the central tropical Atlantic continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development during the next few days. A tropical depression could form late this week or over the weekend as the system moves generally west-northwestward to northwestward across the central tropical or subtropical Atlantic. This system poses no threat to Florida at this time but continues to be monitored.
- *Formation chance through 48 hours…low… 10%.
- *Formation chance through 7 days…medium…60%.
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