Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, July 25th, 2025
Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 07/25/2025 09:52 AM EDT
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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Lingering tropical moisture on Friday will continue to give way to scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms across the Panhandle and West Florida (55-80% chance of rain), while East Florida will see more isolated chances as drier air filters in (15-30% chance of rain).
- The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) has maintained a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding across the Panhandle for locally heavy downpours and thunderstorms that may lead to instances of flash flooding.
- Any of these thunderstorms could be locally strong capable of producing gusty winds, heavy downpours, and frequent lightning.
- Due to the more persistent southerly flow, there is a high risk of rip currents for western Panhandle and Gold Coast beaches and a moderate risk of rip currents for all other Panhandle and East Coast beaches.
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Hot and humid conditions will begin to build across the state into the weekend as high temperatures reach the upper 80s to middle 90s.
- Less cloud coverage over the Florida Peninsula will allow heat index values to reach into the triple digits (100-107-degrees).
- Greater cloud coverage and rainfall will limit the overall magnitude of heat over the western Panhandle, though heat index values will still reach the middle to upper 90s.
- Showers and thunderstorms will taper off this evening and overnight as drier air filters in across the state. An isolated shower or thunderstorm will be possible over the western Panhandle where some residual moisture remains (15-30% chance of rain).
- Low temperatures will fall into the middle to upper 70s and lower 80s across the state.
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Northwestern Gulf: A weak low-pressure system located 100 miles south of the Louisiana coast continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system will move west towards the Texas coast today and has limited time to develop before it moves over land tonight. Regardless of formation, locally heavy rainfall is likely over portions of the northwestern Gulf coast during the next couple of days.
- Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10%.
- Formation chance through 7 days…low…10%.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.