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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, July 3rd, 2025

Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 07/03/2025 09:56 AM EDT

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2

Meteorological Summary:

The ongoing wet and active weather pattern continues across the Sunshine State today, courtesy of an approaching frontal boundary.
Rain chances today shift southeastward to the Florida Peninsula, with widespread showers and thunderstorms expected (75-near 100% chance of rain).
Thunderstorms could become locally strong this afternoon and capable of producing gusty winds (40-50 mph), very frequent lightning, and torrential downpours.
Intense rainfall rates will bring instances of flash flooding and ponding water; Slight Risk (level 2 of 4) for Flash Flooding along the Florida West Coast, Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for North and Central Florida.
Heat index values will remain in the middle to upper 90s statewide, with portions of the Suwannee River Valley and Northeast Florida reaching triple digits (100-103-degrees).
Rain chances remain elevated tonight across portions of the Florida Peninsula and along the West Florida coastline (55-70% chance of rain).
Instances of patchy fog may be possible early Friday morning given lingering low-level moisture and calm winds across the Suwannee River Valley.
An elevated risk of rip currents can be expected for most Florida beaches today, with a locally high risk residing along Gulf County beaches.
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) continues to monitor the southwest Atlantic for potential tropical development this weekend. Environmental conditions are only marginally conducive to support the gradual formation of a tropical or subtropical depression along a weakening cold front. Regardless of development, widespread rain and thunderstorm activity will continue across Northeast Florida and the Florida Peninsula into early next week.
There is a low (20%) chance of development over the next 48 hours and a medium (60%) chance of development over the next 7 days.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report

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