Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, June 11th, 2025

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2 
Meteorological Summary:
 
  • Tropical moisture will bring an increased risk for flash flooding across the Sunshine State as daily showers and thunderstorms develop along the sea breeze (50-90% chance of rain).
  • The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding extends across the state as heavy and intense downpours could lead to flash flooding and ponding of water for urban and low-lying/poor drainage areas.
  • Rainfall totals of 1-3" can be expected throughout the state, with locally higher totals upwards of 4-5" possible for portions of the state.
  • A stalled frontal boundary will help to aid scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening as moisture builds ahead of it.
  • Embedded strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible during the peak heating hours of the day, and will be capable of producing frequent lightning, gusty winds and intense downpours.
  • Warm and muggy conditions can be expected with the increase in moisture throughout the state.
  • High temperatures will reach the upper 80s to middle 90s this afternoon.
  • Feels-like temperatures will reach the middle to upper 90s to triple digits (100-107-degrees), with the warmest values throughout the Suwannee Valley and Nature Coast.
  • Shower and thunderstorm activity will linger through the evening hours before dissipating overnight; however, there may be a few lingering showers and embedded thunderstorms for portions of the Big Bend and South Florida (30-45% chance of rain).
  • Low temperatures will remain in the 70s throughout the state and lower 80s in the Florida Keys.
  • A moderate risk for rip currents returns along all Panhandle beaches, while the Atlantic Coast will continue to see a moderate risk for rip currents.
  • The Escambia River near Century is forecast to rise into minor flood stage over the next day or two, and a River Flood Warning has been issued.
  • Big Coldwater Creek has already crested within minor flood stage, and continues to see water levels declining.

 

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report