EXPERT PANEL PROJECTS GROWTH IN IN THE ADOPTION AND MEANINGFUL USE OF ELECTRONIC HEALTH RECORDS (EHRs)
The authors of “Forecasting the Use of Electronic Health Records: An Expert Opinion Approach,” published in Volume 3, Issue 2 of the Medicare & Medicaid Research Review, convened a group of 18 experts from industry, academia, and government to forecast the adoption and meaningful use of EHRs among office-based physicians from 2012 to 2019. The expert panel projects that 65 percent of primary care physicians in large group practices, 45 percent of primary care physicians in small group practices, and 44 percent of all other specialists could achieve the meaningful use of certified EHR technology by 2015. The expert panel also predicts that meaningful use rates could increase to 80 percent, 65 percent, and 66 percent in 2019 for these three groups, respectively. The information from this study is particularly valuable due to a high degree of uncertainty in a new policy environment and could help inform and evaluate CMS and ONC programs.
Blavin, F. E. & Buntin, M. B. (2013). Forecasting the Use of Electronic Health Records: An Expert Opinion Approach. Medicare Care & Medicaid Research Review, 3(2), E1–E16.