2017 - 2018 Influenza Season Update

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2017-2018 Influenza Season Update

Tiffany Henderson, MPH - Regional Epidemiology Unit Manager - Michigan Department of Health and Human Services (MDHHS)

Influenza has made its presence known this year, with the virus making state and national headlines and closing down multiple schools in Michigan as well as across the country.  A recent study indicates that in addition to droplets, the influenza virus may be spread through aerosols and another study provides evidence of a significant association between flu and subsequent heart attacks. As of the week ending January 20, 2018, Michigan, along with 48 other states and Puerto Rico, reported widespread influenza activity. Various data streams are used to conduct influenza surveillance in Michigan, including the Michigan Disease Surveillance System (MDSS), the Michigan Syndromic Surveillance System (MSSS), sentinel physician and laboratory surveillance, and the Influenza Hospitalization Surveillance Project (IHSP).  According to sentinel physician surveillance data from ILINet for the week ending January 20, approximately 3.6% of statewide visits were due to influenza-like-illness (ILI), which is above the regional baseline of 1.8%. This is the seventh consecutive week this indicator has been above the baseline. Laboratory surveillance from the MDHHS Bureau of Laboratories indicates that the predominant circulating influenza strain is influenza A H3N2, followed by influenza B. In addition, the IHSP uses data on hospitalizations due to severe ILI through active surveillance and chart review of lab-confirmed cases for Clinton, Eaton, Ingham, Genesee, and Washtenaw counties. Since October 1, there have been a total of 535 influenza-related hospitalizations reported in the catchment area for this influenza season. As of January 29, 2018, no pediatric influenza-associated deaths have been confirmed by MDHHS, but nationally, 37 pediatric influenza-associated deaths have been reported.

In addition to routine reviews and analyses of MDSS and MSSS data, Regional Epidemiologists review the MSSS during the flu season for indicators of ILI. The MSSS is a voluntary system that collects chief complaint and basic patient information from visits to Emergency Departments (EDs) and Urgent Care Centers and categorizes those complaints into one of ten syndromic categories. Increases in constitutional visits (e.g., fever, chills, malaise, fatigue) correlate with other influenza and ILI surveillance indicators. Special reports that look specifically at ILI visits (i.e., chief complaint of self-reported flu or chief complaint meets the CDC case definition for ILI (fever accompanied by sore throat and/or cough)) are conducted during the influenza season for the state and each region (statewide graph below). The majority of the public health preparedness regions continue to experience increasing proportions of visits due to ILI and constitutional illness.

The following graph shows the proportion of ILI and constitutional complaints reported to the MSSS from October 1, 2013 – January 29, 2018. For comparison, the graph includes ILI and constitutional baselines, which represent the average proportion of ILI or constitutional complaints for the past four mild influenza seasons (2007-2008, 2008-2009, 2010-2011, 2011-2012). 

Michigan Syndromic Influenza Like Illness Cases - Line Graph

ILI activity is also measured through reports of congregate setting outbreaks to public health from schools, long-term care/assisted living facilities, and other facility types. For the current influenza season, 122 respiratory viral outbreaks have been reported, including outbreaks in the corrections system.  During recent outbreaks, impacted prison facilities implemented daily symptom monitoring, visit restrictions, unit quarantine, case isolation, and environmental cleaning.  Control measure discussions also included the logistics and implications of restricting visitors and altering prisoner transfers.  In addition, due to the nature of the congregate setting and potential for underlying risk factors in this population, chemoprophylaxis was recommended. There have been concerns about obtaining an adequate Tamiflu supply to meet the demand. Although there is not an overall Tamiflu shortage at this time, local supplies can be quickly exhausted during outbreaks in large congregate settings.  Additional Tamiflu can be ordered, but may delay timely administration and so advanced planning is paramount.

MDHHS continues to review surveillance streams for influenza and ILI. It is not too late to get vaccinated.  The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is predicting that influenza activity will continue for several more weeks and even healthy people can become seriously ill from the flu.  With influenza and other viruses circulating, it is also important to practice good hand hygiene to protect yourself and those around you. For more information, including the most recent MI Flu Focus, please visit www.michigan.gov/flu

Guidelines for Influenza and Respiratory Virus Outbreaks in Long-Term Care Facilities Document