Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

• A few showers with embedded storms are ongoing along the Panhandle coastline this morning as an upper-level disturbance and attendant surface front remain positioned near North Florida.
• Additional rounds of scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will develop later this afternoon across much of North Florida courtesy of these features (40-60% chance of rain).
• A Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding is outlooked across North Florida where nuisance flooding and ponding of water will be possible in areas that receive multiple rounds of torrential downpours, especially in urban and poor-drainage locations.
• Showers and thunderstorms will also develop across the central Peninsula today along the sea breezes and generally push eastward throughout the afternoon and evening (40-60% chance of rain).
• Throughout South Florida, thunderstorm activity will remain isolated as dry Saharan air still lingers (20-35% chance of rain).
• Any thunderstorm throughout the state today could become locally strong to severe and capable of producing frequent lightning and locally damaging wind gusts (40-60 mph).
• Highs will reach the upper 80s to lower 90s in North Florida and middle 90s throughout Central and South Florida.
• Cloud coverage and rainfall will keep peak afternoon heat indices in the upper 90s to lower 100s throughout North and Central Florida.
• However, ample sunshine will allow feels-like temperatures to reach the middle to upper 100s in portions of South Florida. A Heat Advisory is in effect for coastal Southwest and Southeast Florida this afternoon for heat index values near 106-109 degrees.
• Tonight, shower and thunderstorm activity will generally dissipate or push offshore before midnight statewide.
• Lows will fall into the middle 70s to lower 80s across the state.
• A high risk for rip currents is outlooked for all Panhandle beaches today.
• Tropical cyclone development is not expected over the next 7 days.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report