Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, July 13, 2026

Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 07/13/2026 10:00 AM EDT

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • An upper-level disturbance and attendant frontal boundary will remain draped across the Southeast U.S. today, aiding in scattered to numerous shower and thunderstorm development across North Florida throughout the day (65-85% chance of rain).
  • A few showers and thunderstorms are already ongoing across the Panhandle where a Slight Risk (level 2 of 4) for Flash Flooding has been outlooked for instances of flooding and ponding of water, especially in areas that receive multiple rounds of training heavy downpours today.
  • A Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding is outlooked for the remainder of North Florida.
  • Rainfall totals will generally remain around 1-2” throughout North Florida today, however locally higher amounts upwards of 3-5” or more cannot be ruled out.
  • A predominate westerly flow across the Peninsula will keep the East Coast sea breeze pinned to the I-95 corridor where a few scattered showers and storms will develop this afternoon (40-60% chance of rain).
  • Otherwise, dry Saharan air will linger across West-Central and the majority of South Florida today keeping rainfall activity more isolated in nature (15-30% chance of rain).
  • Any thunderstorms statewide could become locally strong to severe and accompanied by frequent lightning and gusty winds (30-50 mph).
  • Ample cloud cover and rainfall will keep high temperatures in the middle to upper 80s across North Florida today, with lower to middle 90s in Central and South Florida.
  • Heat indices will remain below advisory criteria throughout the state, however, will approach the lower to middle 100s regardless in South-Central and South Florida where less cloud coverage is expected.
  • Tonight, shower and thunderstorm activity will largely dissipate or push offshore before midnight statewide; Lingering activity may remain through the night along the Panhandle and Big Bend coastlines (60-80% chance of rain).
  • Lows will fall into the lower 70s in North Florida and middle 70s to lower 80s in Central and South Florida.
  • A high risk for rip currents is outlooked for all Panhandle beaches today where surf of 3-5' is expected.
  • Tropical cyclone development is not expected over the next 7 days.

 

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Morning Situation Report