Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, July 11th, 2026

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • Despite some lingering dry, Saharan air across the region, shower and thunderstorm activity will increase in coverage compared to recent days as a bit more tropical moisture attempts to filter into the state.
  • A few showers with embedded thunderstorms are already ongoing along the Panhandle coast this morning, and additional activity will develop along the inland advancing Gulf sea breeze today across North Florida (35-50% chance of rain).
    • A Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather has been outlooked across portions of the Panhandle, Big Bend, and Northeast Florida today where the highest chances are of a few locally strong to severe thunderstorms.
    • The primary hazards with any activity will be frequent lightning, locally damaging wind gusts (40-60 mph), and torrential downpours.
  • Throughout the Peninsula, a fairly typical summertime distribution of scattered showers and thunderstorms is expected as the West Coast and East Coast sea breezes push inland later this afternoon (40-60% chance of rain). Any thunderstorm throughout the Peninsula could also become locally strong to severe.
  • Shower and thunderstorm activity will largely dissipate or push offshore before midnight across the state.
  • Another hot and humid day is on tap statewide with ample sunshine expected and humidity remaining elevated.
  • High temperatures will climb into the middle to upper 90s, with feels-like temperatures soaring into the middle to upper 100s.
    • Heat Advisories have been issued throughout the Peninsula this afternoon where heat indices are most likely to exceed 106-108 degrees.
    • Any shower or thunderstorm activity across the state will bring some relief from the heat this afternoon and evening.
  • Low temperatures will only fall into the middle 70s to lower 80s by daybreak Sunday.
  • A moderate risk for rip currents is expected for all Panhandle and most East Coast beaches today.
  • Tropical cyclone development is not expected over the next 7 days.

 

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report