Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, June 14th, 2026

• Yet another day of oppressive heat and humidity is expected today across much of the state.

• A Heat Advisory is once again in effect throughout the Big Bend and eastern Panhandle this afternoon until 6 PM EDT where daytime high temperatures soaring into the middle to upper 90s will bring heat indices into the middle to upper 100s. 
• Throughout the rest of the state, highs are expected to reach into the lower to middle 90s with feels-like temperatures just below heat advisory criteria in the upper 90s to middle 100s.

• A very similar distribution of afternoon showers and storms to yesterday is expected today.

• The richly moist airmass overtop the state promoting the hot and humid conditions will also result in scattered to widespread shower and thunderstorm activity throughout much of the Peninsula and Big Bend this afternoon (50-70% chance of rain).
• The highest coverage of storms will likely be within the Eastern Panhandle and Northeast Florida where the greatest moisture exists.
• A secondary maximum of coverage of afternoon storm coverage is expected within interior Southeast Florida (40-60% chance of rain).

• Typical sea-breeze interactions and eventual outflow boundary collisions are expected to be the primary forcing mechanism for today’s activity.

• The majority of today’s activity will be sub-severe, but there is a chance for some locally strong storms capable of producing frequent lightning and gusty winds (40-50 mph).
• Portions of extreme northern Nassau County are within a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather this afternoon where the greatest chance for damaging thunderstorm gusts exists.
• Additionally, this activity is expected to be slow-moving with embedded locally heavy downpours which may lead to instances of nuisance flooding and ponding of water in urban and poor drainage locations.
• A Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding is outlooked throughout the East Coast where recent heavy rainfalls makes these areas especially vulnerable to flash flooding.

• Tonight, shower and thunderstorm activity will linger into the evening hours, especially across the East Coast, before dissipating around midnight (25-50% chance of rain).

• Lows will only fall into the middle 70s to lower 80s tonight, bringing little relief from the daytime heat.
• Onshore winds will increase along the Panhandle coast today where a moderate to high risk for rip currents is expected for all beaches. A moderate risk persists for most East Coast beaches as well.
• According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 52 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 5,665 acres

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report