Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, June 13th, 2026

Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 06/13/2026 10:00 AM EDT

FDEM Banner

                You are subscribed to the State Watch Office Morning Situation Report via GovDelivery.

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • The heat and humidity will headline the day today throughout much of the state as increasing moisture leads to hot and muggy conditions.
  • A Heat Advisory is in effect throughout the Big Bend and eastern Panhandle this afternoon until 6 PM EDT where daytime high temperatures soaring into the middle to upper 90s will bring heat indices into the middle to upper 100s.
  • Throughout the rest of the state, highs are expected to reach into the lower to middle 90s with feels-like temperatures in the upper 90s to middle 100s, just below heat advisory criteria.
  • Plentiful tropical moisture pooling across the state combined with the afternoon sea breezes will promote scattered to widespread shower and thunderstorm activity throughout much of the Peninsula and interior Big Bend this afternoon (55-80% chance of rain).
  • Any thunderstorm throughout the state this afternoon could become locally strong and capable of producing frequent lightning and gusty winds (40-50 mph).
  • Additionally, this activity is expected to be slow-moving with embedded locally heavy downpours which may lead to instances of nuisance flooding and ponding of water in urban and poor drainage locations.
    • A Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding is outlooked throughout the Peninsula to highlight this threat.
  • Tonight, shower and thunderstorm activity will linger into the evening hours, especially across the interior Peninsula, before dissipating around midnight (25-50% chance of rain).
  • Lows will only fall into the middle 70s to lower 80s tonight, bringing little relief from the daytime heat.
  • A moderate to high risk for rip currents is expected for all Panhandle and most East Coast beaches today.
  • From the National Hurricane Center (NHC):
    • Southwestern Gulf: A broad area of low pressure just offshore of eastern Mexico continues to produce some shower and thunderstorm activity. While this system has become better organized since yesterday, marginal environmental conditions will probably prevent significant development before the low moves inland over eastern Mexico by Sunday. The system could re-emerge over the northwestern Gulf on Tuesday or Wednesday while interacting with a frontal boundary, but conditions there are also expected to be only marginally conducive for development.
      • Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20%.
      • Formation chance through 7 days…low…20%

 

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report