Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, June 6th, 2026

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • The only exceptions to this is in South Florida where lingering moisture may be enough to squeeze out a few light showers today (10-20% chance of rain), and the extreme Western Panhandle due to the proximity of the remnants of a weak Gulf Low (40-60% chance of rain).
  • The heavy rainfall potential from these remnants have prompted the issuance of a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding today across Escambia and Santa Rosa counties.
    • The risk of flash flooding appears highly conditional for Florida given its positioning near the eastern extent of the associated moisture plume and thus will be dependent on how far west moisture will extend and if any lines of training showers and storms develop overtop these counties.
    • Current rainfall forecasts are generally around 1’ across Escambia and Santa Rosa counties, but some isolated totals of 2-3’ appear possible.
  • This is especially true across North-Central FL, where we are expecting afternoon low minimum relative humidity values between 35-40%.
  • These values are significantly below-average for this time of year, even if it doesn't quite exceed critical thresholds.
  • The fire weather threat is still marginal overall, as wind gusts today will max out at only around 10-15mph and fuels remain largely saturated from recent heavy rainfall.
  • However, hot and dry weather overlapping with areas that have been subjected to long-term drought conditions, and that have seen multiple wildfire reignitions/new ignitions over the past two days, invites the need for some fire weather awareness today.
  • The East Coast will remain a little cooler, with highs in the mid 80s as easterly onshore flow helps modulate afternoon high temperatures somewhat.
  • Lows will generally be in lower to middle 70s tonight.
  • Elevated onshore winds will bring a high risk for rip currents for most Panhandle and all Southeast beaches today. A moderate risk for rip currents is expected for Central and Northern East Coast Beaches today where onshore flow is comparatively weaker. A low risk remains in effect for all West Coast beaches.
  • According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 34 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 7,326 acres.

 

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Morning Situation Report