Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, June 4th, 2026
Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 06/04/2026 10:00 AM EDT
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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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The cold front that had been supplying much of the state’s rainfall over the past few days is now positioned over extreme Southern Florida and is poised to fully exit the state today.
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Expectedly, chances for rain are confined to the southern tip of Florida, where a high (50-80%) chance for rain is currently forecast - mostly for Miami-Dade and Monroe counties.
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These areas have already been subject to repeated rounds of heavy rainfall over the past week, prompting the issuance of a Marginal Risk for Flash Flooding today.
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Rainfall totals will generally be between 1-2’ with some localized areas seeing upwards of 3-5’.
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While there is no organized risk for severe weather with any storms in South Florida today, a few locally strong storms cannot be ruled out capable of producing frequent lightning and gusty winds (40-50 mph).
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Elsewhere, high pressure is settling in across the northern portions of the state.
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Our central and northern areas are waking up to quite a pleasant morning with widespread temperatures dipping into the mid-upper 50s and low 60s.
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In fact, numerous sites across Northern Florida and the greater Southeast region have already broken their record low temperatures for this date.
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Given the cooler and drier air that has filtered into these areas following yesterday’s frontal passage, minimal cloud coverage and no rainfall is expected today.
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The drier and breezier conditions (gusts of 20-25mph) expected across Northern and Central Florida may promote some sensitive wildfire conditions, although fuels that are still saturated from previous days’ rainfall will likely limit the extent of the danger.
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High temperatures today will be middle to upper 80s across the northern half of the state, with low to mid 80s more likely across the southern half of the state.
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Low temperatures will be in the low to mid 60s across North Florida and in the low to mid 70s across the southern half of the state.
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