Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, June 3rd, 2026

• A cold front located over Central FL is currently bisecting the state’s weather pattern.

• In the northern half of the state, abnormally cool and dry air for this time of year has moved through in the wake of the front’s passage.
• This will make for pleasant outdoor conditions and near-zero chances of rain, with afternoon highs in the high 70s to low 80s and overnight lows in the upper 50s to low 60s.
• The post-frontal environment will also introduce gusty easterly/northeasterly winds upwards of 30mph for much of Northern and Central Florida today.

• The southern half of the state remains on the moist side of the front and thus retains a high (50-80%) chance of rain today.

• Shower and storm development will be driven by both the front and by typical sea breeze interactions and will likely be ongoing all day.
• Two swaths of moderate to heavy rainfall is already being observed along the central East Coast and the southern tip of the state, respectfully.
• Given the heavy rainfall potential driven by the extremely moist airmass and multiple sources of shower and storm development, a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding is in effect for coastal Southeast FL.
• Expected rainfall totals are around 1-2’, with isolated areas of 3-5’ likely.
• There is no organized risk for severe weather today, however a few storms may be locally strong containing isolated damaging winds.
• High temperatures in the southern half of the state will also be below average (low to mid 80s); however, this is largely a result of widespread cloud and shower/storm coverage rather than frontal passage.
• Low temperatures will be seasonable in the low to mid 70s across the southern half of the state, with metro locations along the southeast coast likely seeing upper 70s to lower 80s tonight.

• Shower and thunderstorm activity in South FL should mostly wane following sunset.

• However, a few localized showers and storms lingering through the overnight hours, especially along coastal southeast FL is likely (40-60% chance) as the nearby front continues to provide an ample source of lift.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report