Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, June 2nd, 2026

• low-moving frontal boundary over North Florida and an approaching upper-level disturbance to our northeast will promote the development of scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms today – some of which may be strong to severe and may contain heavy downpours capable of flash flooding.

• Storm activity today will be scattered to widespread, with the highest coverage (50-80%) in North Florida and along the I-95 Corridor.
• Within these areas, ample forcing for ascent alongside moderate instability and windshear introduces at least a low-end severe threat, prompting the issuance of a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for severe weather.
• The primary severe threat in this setup will be an isolated risk for gusty severe thunderstorm winds >60mph.
• Today’s storms will likely initiate in the early-late afternoon and persist well into the overnight hours, especially in the Panhandle, as the front and upper-level disturbance continue to provide adequate lift for storm activity.
• Outside of North and Eastern Florida, low chances for rain (20-30%) are expected over the West Coast and along the Coastal Panhandle.
• Rain chances increase for the Northern West Coast overnight as the front begins to sag southward.

• This activity will be occurring over regions that have seen repeated rounds of heavy rainfall and soil saturation over the past two weeks.

• Given this, the widespread coverage of storms expected, and the heavy rainfall potential associated with them, a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) of Flash Flooding has also been outlooked over much of the same areas outlined in the severe weather outlook.
• Forecast rainfall totals are generally between 1-2”, however, a few isolated locations may see upwards of 3-5”, especially in any areas that see multiple rounds of storms or within any training storms.

• High temperatures will remain in the lower 90s statewide today.

• Very high humidities will make the outside feel extremely hot and muggy across the entire state. Feels-like temperatures will approach the middle to upper 90s throughout much of the state, with many locations likely exceeding 100 degrees.
• Low temperatures will fall into the 70s to lower 80s throughout the state.
• A moderate to high risk of rip currents is expected for East Coast and Panhandle beaches.
• According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 32 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 14,208 acres.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report