Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, May 28th, 2026

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • Yet another wet and rainy day is expected across the Sunshine State as rich moist flow around area of high pressure turns southwesterly out of the Gulf today.
  • A few showers and thunderstorms are ongoing along the Central and South Florida coasts, and additional activity will develop throughout the Peninsula this afternoon as the sea breezes push inland (50-80% chance of rain).
    • With southwesterly flow, the focus for activity will be across the interior Peninsula where the sea breezes collide, eventually pushing eastward towards the East Coast.
  • A Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding is outlooked across Southeast Florida where repeated rounds of heavy downpours may lead to nuisance flooding and ponding of water, especially in urban and poor-drainage locations.
  • A Marginal Risk is also outlooked across the Panhandle where a few rounds of showers and storms will develop along the Gulf sea breeze this afternoon (40-60% chance of rain).
  • Any of this activity statewide could become locally strong and capable of producing frequent lightning and gusty winds (30-50 mph).
  • Rainfall totals will generally remain around 1-2”, though locally higher amounts upwards of 3-5” cannot be ruled out.
  • Highs will reach the middle to upper 80s statewide today, with feels-like temperatures approaching the middle to upper 90s in Central and South Florida.
  • Tonight, showers and storms will linger across East-Central and Southeast Florida before dissipating or pushing offshore around midnight (40-60% chance of rain).
  • A few isolated showers cannot be ruled out across the rest of the state (15-25% chance of rain).
  • Lows will remain in the 70s to lower 80s statewide.
  • Areas of patchy fog may develop along the I-10 corridor towards daybreak on Friday, some of which could become locally dense.
  • A moderate to high risk for rip currents is expected for all Panhandle and East Coast beaches today.
  • According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 66 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 17,998 acres.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report