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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, May 27th 2026

Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 05/27/2026 10:19 AM EDT

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2

Meteorological Summary:

Enhanced southerly flow between the Atlantic ridge to our east and an upper-level disturbance to our west is continuing to bring a richly moist airmass over the state.
A swath of showers and thunderstorms embedded in this flow are currently pushing onshore into the Western Panhandle – a regions that has already seen multiple inches of rain and isolated incidences of flash flooding over the past few days.
Continued rounds of showers and storms are expected for the Panhandle, where a high (70-80%) chance of rain is expected for the rest of the day.
The Weather Prediction Center has outlooked a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Excessive Rainfall today for Panhandle counties west of Leon/Wakulla.
Forecast rainfall amounts in the Panhandle should generally max out at around 1-2”, but some isolated areas of 2-4” cannot be ruled out, especially within any training storms that develop.
Elsewhere, the Central/Northern I-75 corridor will be another hotspot for rain chances today (40-60%).
These storms will likely be scattered in nature and generally follow a more typical sea breeze driven regime. Although there is no organized risk for flash flooding with this activity, a few locally heavy downpours cannot be ruled out.
Any of today's storms could also become locally strong and capable of producing frequent lightning and gusty winds (40-50 mph).
Breezy southeasterly winds will develop along the East Coast today, with gusts upwards of 25 mph across East-Central and Southeast Florida.
High temperatures will remain in the 80s across the Panhandle and Big Bend today, with lower to middle 90s throughout the Peninsula.
Feels-like temperatures will approach the upper 90s to near 100-degrees in the Peninsula.
Shower and thunderstorm activity is expected to linger well past sunset tonight along the I-75 corridor and across the Coastal Panhandle before eventually waning around midnight (50-70% chance of rain).
Low temperatures will fall into the 70s to lower 80s throughout the state.
Patchy fog is not anticipated given abundant cloud cover and visibilities should remain generally near or above 3 miles.
A moderate to high risk of rip currents is expected for East Coast and Panhandle beaches.
According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 66 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 17880 acres.

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Morning Situation Report

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