Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, May 26th 2026

• A few showers are ongoing across the Panhandle and Big Bend this morning amidst persistent deep moist southerly flow.
• This moist flow will continue today with additional rounds of northward moving showers and thunderstorms across the Panhandle and western Big Bend this afternoon (60-90% chance of rain).
• A Marginal to Slight Risk (level 1-2 of 4) for Flash Flooding has been outlooked across the Panhandle and western Big Bend today for a few instances of flash flooding due to additional heavy rainfall over already saturated soils.
• A Flood Watch is also in effect until tonight for these areas.
• Rainfall amounts will measure 2-3” for most locations, though locally higher totals upwards of 4-6” or more cannot be ruled out.
• Any of these storms could also become locally strong and capable of producing frequent lightning and gusty winds (40-50 mph).
• A sharp cutoff in rainfall is expected across the central and eastern Big Bend today where just a few isolated showers or storms are expected.
• Sea breeze showers and storms are expected to develop along the I-75 corridor this afternoon (40-60% chance of rain), with isolated activity throughout the remainder of the Peninsula (15-30% chance of rain).
• Breezy southeasterly winds will develop along the East Coast today, with gusts upwards of 25 mph across East-Central and Southeast Florida.
• Highs will remain in the 80s across the Panhandle and Big Bend today, with lower to middle 90s throughout the Peninsula. Feels-like temperatures will approach the upper 90s to near 100-degrees.
• Tonight, showers and storms will linger across the Panhandle and I-75 corridor before dissipating around midnight (40-60% chance of rain).
• Lows will fall into the 70s to lower 80s statewide.
• A moderate to high risk for rip currents is expected for all Panhandle and East Coast beaches today. Most West-Central and Southwest Florida beaches will also see a moderate risk.
• The Shoal River near Crestview has reached Action Stage (bank-full) and is forecast to reach minor flood stage by tomorrow. Numerous other rivers and streams are in Action Stage throughout the western Panhandle due to recent heavy rainfall.
• According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 84 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 19,294 acres.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report