Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, May 25th, 2026

• Showers and embedded thunderstorms are ongoing across much of the Panhandle this morning as an upper-level disturbance begins to pass just north of the area.
• This disturbance, paired with the sea breezes, will help to spark additional showers and thunderstorms throughout the Panhandle this afternoon (75-90% chance of rain).
• Activity will be more scattered in nature across the Big Bend and Northeast Florida this afternoon where deep southerly flow will still bring abundant moisture for activity to develop (45-60% chance of rain).
• The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) has outlooked much of the Panhandle under a Marginal to Slight Risk (level 1-2 of 4) for Flash Flooding today for instances of flash flooding and ponding of water, especially in urban and poor-drainage locations.
• Rounds of heavy downpours over saturated soils today could lead to flooding concerns. Rainfall amounts will generally add up to 1-2", though localized areas could see upwards of 3-5".
• Any thunderstorm this afternoon could become locally strong and capable of producing frequent lightning and gusty winds (40-50 mph).
• Throughout Central and South Florida, drier air will filter into the area today bringing lesser coverage in activity compared to previous days. However, an isolated shower or storm cannot be ruled out especially along the I-75 corridor of West-Central and North-Central Florida this afternoon (25-40% chance of rain).
• Breezy east to southeasterly winds will continue along the East Coast today, with gusts upwards of 20-25 mph across East-Central and Southeast Florida. A few gusts upwards of 30 mph cannot be ruled out for immediate beachfront locales.
• High temperatures will reach the lower to middle 80s across the Panhandle and Big Bend where ample cloud cover will keep things cooler.
• Highs will reach the lower to middle 90s throughout the Peninsula and Northeast Florida, with feels-like temperatures approaching the upper 90s to near 100-degrees in Southwest Florida.
• Shower and thunderstorm activity is expected to linger well past sunset tonight over portions of West Central Florida and North Florida near the I-75 corridor before eventually waning around midnight (40-60% chance of rain).
• Storms may also continue through the night across the Panhandle where deep southerly flow will persist (40-60% chance of rain).
• Low temperatures will fall into the 70s to lower 80s throughout the state.
• A moderate to high risk for rip currents is expected for all Panhandle and East Coast beaches today. A localized moderate risk also exists for Southwest Florida beaches.
• According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 89 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 19,037 acres.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report