Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday May 24th, 2026

• Showers and thunderstorms are ongoing across portions of the Panhandle this morning associated with a weakening mid-level disturbance passing through the lower Mississippi River Valley.
• This activity will slowly translate eastward through the morning hours with additional activity expected to develop ahead of this disturbance this afternoon throughout the Big Bend (50-80% chance of rain).
• There remains quite a bit of uncertainty regarding any severe weather potential with this activity, however a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather is outlooked throughout North Florida today for a few of these storms that may become locally strong to severe.
• The primary hazards with any of this activity will be frequent lightning, gusty winds (40-60 mph), and locally heavy downpours.
• Additionally, a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding is outlooked across the western Panhandle where training thunderstorms could lead to nuisance flooding and ponding of water in urban and poor-drainage locations.
• Throughout the Peninsula and Northeast Florida, the sea breezes will help to spark scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms this afternoon focused along the I-75 corridor (50-80% chance of rain).
• A Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding is outlooked along the I-75 corridor and across Northeast Florida this afternoon for localized instances of flash flooding due to these slow-moving heavy thunderstorms.
• Isolated activity is expected throughout East-Central and Southeast Florida today (15-30% chance of rain), though breezy east to southeasterly winds are expected along the coast with gusts upwards of 20-25 mph at times this afternoon.
• High temperatures will reach the middle 80s to lower 90s throughout the state this afternoon. With increasing humidity, the feels-like temperatures will approach the middle to upper 90s throughout Northeast and Southwest Florida.
• Shower or storm activity is expected to linger well past sunset tonight over portions of West Central Florida and North Florida near the I-75 corridor before eventually waning around midnight (40-70% chance of rain). Storms may also continue through the night along the FL/AL border.
• As we approach sunrise on Monday, isolated showers may get an early start along the immediate Florida East Coast.
• Some patchy fog may develop throughout the Panhandle and Big Bend tonight, but given the increased cloud cover, should be localized with visibilities around 3 miles or more. 
• Low temperatures will fall into the 70s to lower 80s throughout the state.
• A moderate to high risk for rip currents is expected for all Panhandle and East Coast beaches today.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report