Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, May 21st, 2026

Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 05/21/2026 10:32 AM EDT

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2

Meteorological Summary:
  • Areas of patchy to locally dense fog have developed over the Panhandle this morning but will quickly dissipate over the next 1-2 hours as the sun rises.
  • The highest chances for rain today will again be focused across Southwest Florida (40-60%) along any sea breeze boundaries.
  • Winds subtly shifting out of the southeast today will also increase rain chances statewide, with the much of the I-75 corridor carrying a medium (30-50%) chance for showers and thunderstorms this afternoon.
  • While there is no organized risk of severe weather or flash flooding, any of today’s activity could become locally strong and capable of producing frequent lightning, gusty winds (30-50 mph), and locally heavy downpours.
    • Rainfall amounts will generally remain below 1”, though localized areas could see upwards of 2-3”.
  • Wildfire danger will remain lower today given relative humidities above critical thresholds, though breezy winds are expected throughout the Eastern Peninsula gusting upwards of 20 mph.
    • Scattered showers and thunderstorms may be accompanied by lightning and gusty/erratic winds that can spark new wildfires or reignite existing ones.
  • High temperatures will climb into the upper 80s to middle 90s statewide, with afternoon feels-like temperatures approaching the upper 90s across North-Central and Western Florida.
  • Tonight, any lingering shower or storm activity will shortly dissipate after sunset.
  • Mostly clear and calm conditions overnight may encourage the development of some patchy fog throughout the Florida Panhandle, some of which may become locally dense.
  • Lows will fall into the lower to middle 70s for much of the state, with upper 70s to lower 80s across the Southeast Metro and Keys.
  • A moderate to high risk for rip currents is expected for all Panhandle and East Coast beaches.
  • According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 65 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 18,134 acres.

 

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report