Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, May 19th, 2026

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2 
Meteorological Summary:
 
  • Any areas of patchy fog across Northeast Florida this morning will slowly dissipate by mid-morning as the sun rises.
  • Otherwise, another rinse and repeat of yesterday as high pressure brings persistent east to southeasterly flow over the state.
  • Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop along the sea breezes this afternoon, focused along the I-75 corridor (30-65% chance of rain).
    • Any of this activity could become locally strong and capable of producing frequent lightning, gusty winds (30-50 mph), and locally heavy downpours.
    • Rainfall amounts will generally remain below 1”, though localized areas could see upwards of 2-4”.
  • Wildfire danger will remain lower today given relative humidities above critical thresholds, though breezy winds are expected throughout the Peninsula gusting upwards of 20-25 mph.
  • High temperatures will climb into the upper 80s to middle 90s statewide, with afternoon feels-like temperatures approaching the upper 90s to near 100-degrees across West-Central and Southwest Florida.
  • Tonight, any lingering shower or storm activity will shortly dissipate after sunset.
  • Mostly clear and calm conditions will prevail, which will encourage the development of patchy fog throughout Northeast Florida and the western Panhandle, some of which could be locally dense.
  • Lows will fall into the upper 60s to middle 70s for much of the state, with upper 70s to lower 80s across the Southeast Metro and Keys.
  • A moderate to high risk for rip currents is expected for all Panhandle and East Coast beaches today. Surf of 2-4' is expected along all East Coast beaches.
  • According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 70 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 18,627 acres.

 

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report