Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, May 17th, 2026.

Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 05/17/2026 10:15 AM EDT

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2 
Meteorological Summary:
  • Moisture will continue to increase across the state today as south to southeasterly flow increases around the periphery of high pressure over the western Atlantic.
  • Easterly winds along the East Coast today, where gusts upwards of 20-25 mph will be possible, will send the Atlantic sea breeze inland towards the I-75 corridor this afternoon where it will collide with the West Coast sea breeze.
  • Here, scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop this afternoon and evening with a few storms becoming locally strong to severe (50-75% chance of rain).
    • The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has outlooked a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather throughout much of the Peninsula, with the I-75 corridor and Suwannee River Valley the focus for a few storms capable of producing frequent lightning, gusty winds (40-60 mph), and small hail.
    • Additionally, any slow-moving thunderstorm could lead to nuisance flooding and ponding of water in urban and poor-drainage locations. Rainfall amounts will generally remain below 1", though localized areas may see upwards of 3-5".
  • High temperatures will soar into the upper 80s to middle 90s statewide today, with feels-like temperatures approaching the upper 90s to near 100-degrees along the I-75 corridor and throughout Southwest Florida.
  • Tonight, any showers or thunderstorms lingering throughout the Peninsula will slowly dissipate or push offshore after dark (15-30% chance of rain).
  • Mostly clear and calm conditions will prevail otherwise.
  • Lows will fall into the upper 60s to middle 70s throughout much of the state, with the Southeast Metro and Keys only dipping into the upper 70s to lower 80s.
  • Areas of patchy fog may develop towards daybreak Monday across the western Panhandle.
  • A high risk for rip currents is expected for all East Coast beaches today, with a moderate risk outlooked along Panhandle beaches.
  • According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 52 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 17,666 acres.
 

 

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report