Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, May 13th, 2026.

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2 
Meteorological Summary:
  • Ample tropical moisture will remain pooled across the state today with isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms expected throughout the Peninsula this afternoon (35-70% chance of rain).
  • The I-95 corridor and East Coast will be favored today for a few locally strong thunderstorms that could produce frequent lightning, gusty winds (30-50 mph), and heavy downpours.
  • Wildfire danger will be low today as relative humidities remain well above critical thresholds, though thunderstorm activity can bring lightning and gusty/erratic winds capable of sparking new wildfires or reigniting existing ones.
  • Winds will turn breezy across South Florida this afternoon, gusting upwards of 25 mph.
  • A mostly dry day is expected throughout the Panhandle and Big Bend as clouds slowly start to clear out from west to east, with a sprinkle or isolated shower possible (10-20% chance of rain).
  • High temperatures will reach the upper 70s to lower 80s throughout North Florida, with middle 80s to lower 90s in Central and South Florida.
  • Feels-like temperatures will approach the upper 90s to near 100-degrees across coastal Southeast Florida today.
  • Tonight, activity will begin to dissipate after sunset with just a few lingering showers across East-Central Florida (25-30% chance of rain).
  • Areas of patchy dense fog cannot be ruled out across Northeast Florida and near the I-4 corridor overnight and towards daybreak Thursday.
  • Lows will fall into the lower to middle 60s in North Florida with lower to middle 70s in Central and South Florida.
  • A high risk for rip currents is expected for Atlantic Coast beaches today. A moderate risk is outlooked for the Panhandle, Southwest, and Southeast Florida.
  • According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 53 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 29,209 acres.
 

 

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Morning Situation Report