Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, May 12th, 2026.

• A wet and rainy day is expected throughout much of the state as a cold front slides southward through the Sunshine State today.
• Scattered showers with embedded thunderstorms are ongoing across the Panhandle and Big Bend this morning and additional activity is expected to develop across the Peninsula later today (70-90% chance of rain).
• A Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather is outlooked across Central and Southeast Florida this afternoon for the development of a few locally strong to severe thunderstorms.
• The primary hazards with these thunderstorms will be frequent lightning, gusty winds (40-60 mph), and perhaps a brief tornado or two.
• Ample tropical moisture will support locally heavy downpours which could lead to a quick 2-3” of rain in any areas that see a slow-moving heavy thunderstorm.
• A Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding is outlooked along the I-95 corridor for instances of nuisance flooding in urban and poor-drainage locations.
• High temperatures will remain in the 70s throughout North Florida today due to abundant cloud cover.
• Highs will reach the middle 80s to lower 90s in Central and South Florida, with feels-like temperatures approaching the lower 100s in Southwest Florida.
• Tonight, scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue through the evening across the Big Bend and Peninsula before slowly pushing eastward and offshore (45-75% chance of rain).
• Low temperatures will fall into the 60s in North Florida with 70s throughout Central and South Florida.
• Instances of patchy fog cannot be ruled out along the I-4 corridor and the western Panhandle by daybreak Wednesday.
• A high risk for rip currents is expected for Northeast Florida beaches and a moderate risk for Panhandle, Space Coast, and Treasure Coast beaches.
• According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 58 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 28,955 acres.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report