Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, May 9, 2026

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2 
Meteorological Summary:

 

  • Another wet and active weather day is expected across the northern tier of the state as a frontal boundary remains stalled across the region.
  • Additional waves of scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected along this front this afternoon across North Florida (55-90% chance of rain), some of which could be locally strong to severe where a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather is outlooked.
  • The primary hazards with any storms that do develop will be frequent lightning, gusty winds (40-60 mph), and locally heavy downpours.
  • A Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding is outlooked across much of the Panhandle and Big Bend today for isolated instances of nuisance flooding and ponding of water, especially in urban and poor drainage locations.
  • Across the Peninsula, rainfall chances will be much lower however a few isolated showers or storms may develop along the East Coast sea breeze pinned along the I-95 corridor today (30-45% chance of rain).
  • West to southwesterly winds will increase today across the Peninsula, gusting upwards of 20-25 mph this afternoon.
  • These winds will overlap with near critically low relative humidities (35-45%) throughout interior Central and South Florida, which will encourage another day of elevated wildfire conditions.
  • High temperatures will climb well into the lower to middle 90s throughout Central and South Florida today with feels-like temperatures approaching or exceeding 100-degrees. Abundant cloud cover and rainfall will keep temperatures in the 70s and 80s across North Florida.
  • Tonight, isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue to linger overnight throughout North and North-Central Florida (25-35% chance of rain). A few isolated showers may also linger along the East Coast before dissipating after sunset (15-25% chance of rain).
  • Mostly dry conditions are expected across South Florida where instances of patchy dense fog are possible by daybreak on Sunday.
  • Low temperatures will dip into the upper 60s to middle 70s across much of the state, with the Southeast metro and Keys remaining in the 80s.
  • A moderate to high risk for rip currents is expected for all Panhandle, Space Coast, and Treasure Coast beaches.
  • According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 66 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 17,690 acres.
 

 

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Morning Situation Report