Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, May 4, 2026

Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 05/04/2026 10:07 AM EDT

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • A cold front continues to slide southward into the Florida Straits today, keeping some moisture around across South Florida where isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected this afternoon (35-55% chance of rain).
  • Southeast Florida will see the greatest chances of rain where a few locally heavy downpours cannot be ruled out.
    • Rainfall totals will generally remain below 1", though a quick 1-3" of rain cannot be ruled out in localized areas that see the heaviest activity.
  • Further north, high pressure will begin to nudge into North and Central Florida allowing for dry and pleasant conditions to return.
  • Relative humidities will dip below critical thresholds (20-30%) across North Florida which will continue to encourage elevated wildfire conditions amidst the ongoing exceptional drought. Light winds will keep the overall wildfire threat lower.
  • The strongest winds will reside across East-Central Florida where wind gusts upwards of 25-30 mph will be possible overlapping with relative humidities of 35-45%.
  • High temperatures will reach into the upper 70s to middle 80s for much of the state this afternoon.
  • Tonight, a few showers and storms will linger across Southeast and Southwest Florida (25-35% chance of rain), though will quickly dissipate after sunset.
  • A mostly calm and clear night is expected statewide.
  • Lows will fall into the 50s across North Florida, with middle 60s to lower 70s in Central and South Florida.
  • A moderate to high risk for rip currents is expected for most East Coast and Panhandle beaches today. Locally high surf of 4-6' is expected for Treasure Coast beaches.
  • According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 87 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 15,305 acres.

 

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Morning Situation Report