Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, April 7th, 2026.

Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 04/07/2026 10:09 AM EDT

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2 
Meteorological Summary:
  • Scattered to numerous showers and embedded thunderstorms are ongoing this morning across the Peninsula as an upper-level disturbance traverses across the state along a stalled frontal boundary.
  • This disturbance will help to enhance the activity across the entire Peninsula this afternoon, with the I-95 corridor the most probable focus for the heaviest rainfall (65-95% chance of rain).
  • The Weather Prediction Center has outlooked a Slight Risk (level 2 of 4) for Flash Flooding along the East Coast from Volusia County to Miami-Dade County.  
    • Saturated soils from recent rains may encourage instances of flooding and ponding of water today, especially in urban and poor drainage locations that receive additional repeated rounds of heavy downpours.
  • A Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding is outlooked across much of the rest of the interior central and southern Peninsula.
  • A Flood Watch is in effect along the coast from Volusia to Miami-Dade counties where rainfall totals generally between 2-4 inches are expected, however locally greater amounts upwards of 5-7” will be possible in areas that see repeated rounds of heavy downpours.
  • Although there is no organized risk for severe weather today, a few locally embedded thunderstorms could produce frequent lightning, gusty winds (40-50 mph), and small hail.
  • Breezy to windy conditions are expected to develop beginning this afternoon across Northeast Florida and surging southward overnight along the East Coast.
    • Wind gusts upwards of 35-45 mph are expected along the immediate coast with gusts of 25-35 mph throughout interior portions of North and Central Florida. Wind Advisories are in effect across the eastern Peninsula through tonight.
  • Across the Panhandle and Big Bend, a local pocket of dry air is expected to filter into the area in the wake of the frontal activity across the Peninsula.
    • Relative humidities will dip well below critical thresholds (15-25%) which, paired with the breezy conditions, will promote elevated to locally critical wildfire conditions.
    • A Red Flag Warning is in effect for portions of the eastern Panhandle and Big Bend this afternoon for this wildfire risk.
  • Isolated to scattered showers are expected to last through the overnight hours along the East Coast with easterly winds pushing activity onshore (40-65% chance of rain).
  • High temperatures today will remain in the middle to upper 60s across Northeast and North-Central Florida with abundant cloud cover and rainfall. Middle 70s to lower 80s are expected throughout the Panhandle and South Florida.
  • Lows will dip into the middle to upper 50s across North Florida tonight, with middle 60s to lower 70s across Central and South Florida.
  • Dangerous marine conditions will develop across the East Coast today. Surf near 4-6' this morning will increase to 8-10' by the evening along the First Coast. Tonight, this high surf will surge southward along the East Coast with waves increasing to 10-13'.
    • A High Surf Advisory is in effect for the First and Space Coast beginning this afternoon and the Treasure Coast beginning tonight.
  • A moderate to high risk for rip currents is expected for all Panhandle and East Coast beaches today.
  • Instances of minor beach erosion will be possible along the East Coast along vulnerable and susceptible beaches near and during times of high tide.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report