Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, April 5th, 2026.

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2 
Meteorological Summary:
  • Areas of patchy fog, some of which is locally dense, will slowly lift and dissipate through the morning hours across the Panhandle and Northeast Florida.
  • Showers with embedded thunderstorms are also ongoing across the far western Panhandle this morning ahead of and along our next frontal system.
  • This cold front is expected to mostly lift north of the state, bringing with it the greatest chances of rain as well. However, this broken line of activity ahead of the front will traverse the Panhandle this morning before dissipating as it approaches the Big Bend region (50-90% chance of rain).
  • Mostly dry conditions will prevail throughout the Big Bend and Suwannee River Valley today, though an isolated shower or storm cannot be ruled out (15-25% chance of rain).
  • Across the Peninsula, the sea breeze boundaries will push inland this afternoon helping to spark scattered showers and thunderstorms (40-60% chance of rain).
    • Although there is no organized risk for severe weather today, a few storms throughout the Peninsula could become locally strong and capable of producing frequent lightning, gusty winds (40-50 mph), and small hail.
    • Additionally, a few locally heavy downpours could lead to a quick 1-3” of rain and areas of ponding of water and nuisance flooding cannot be ruled out in low-lying/poor drainage locations.
  • A few breezy wind gusts upwards of 20-25 mph can be expected along the I-95 corridor and Southeast Florida today.
  • Given the ongoing drought, locally sensitive to elevated wildfire conditions will persist statewide despite relative humidities remaining above critical thresholds.
  • High temperatures will reach the middle 70s to middle 80s throughout much of the state this afternoon. Portions of the I-75 corridor will approach the upper 80s or even 90-degrees.
  • Any shower or thunderstorm activity is expected to diminish shortly after sunset throughout the state.
  • However, some lingering showers may redevelop across the Panhandle and Big Bend after midnight as the cold front passes through (25-40% chance of rain).
  • Lows will reach the 60s to lower 70s throughout the Peninsula tonight.
  • In the wake of the front, cooler overnight temperatures are expected with lows in the 50s throughout the Panhandle and Big Bend.
  • Areas of patchy fog and low clouds may develop across Central Florida overnight and before daybreak Monday, some of which could become locally dense.
  • A moderate to high risk for rip currents is expected at all Panhandle and East Coast beaches today.
 

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report