Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, April 4th, 2026

Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 04/04/2026 10:01 AM EDT

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2 
Meteorological Summary:
  • Any areas of patchy fog throughout North Florida this morning will quickly lift and dissipate shortly after sunrise.
  • South and easterly flow will continue throughout the state today, though a plume of drier air aloft in the atmosphere will trail a pocket of moist air currently residing over the Big Bend northern Panhandle.
  • This drier air will limit shower and thunderstorm activity throughout the Peninsula this afternoon, outside of coastal Southeast Florida where an isolated shower or storm cannot be ruled out (25-30% chance of rain).
  • Southerly winds will help to push the sea breeze inland across the northern Panhandle this afternoon which will help spark isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms during peak heating hours (25-55% chance of rain).
    • Although there is no organized risk for severe weather today, a few storms could become locally strong across the Panhandle and capable of producing frequent lightning, gusty winds (40-50 mph), and small hail.
    • Additionally, a few locally heavy downpours could lead to a quick 1-3” of rain and areas of ponding of water and nuisance flooding cannot be ruled out in low-lying/poor drainage locations.
  • The south and easterly flow today will be accompanied by breezy wind gusts upwards of 20 mph throughout the state with locally higher gusts upwards of 25-30 mph along the I-95 corridor and Southeast Florida.
  • Given the ongoing drought, locally sensitive to elevated wildfire conditions will persist statewide, especially across Northeast Florida where relative humidities will dip to near critical thresholds (30-40% RH values).
  • High temperatures will reach the middle 70s to middle 80s throughout much of the state this afternoon. Portions of the I-75 corridor will approach the upper 80s or even 90-degrees.
  • A lingering isolated shower cannot be ruled out across Southeast Florida overnight (20-25% chance of rain).
  • A cold front with a few showers and embedded thunderstorms ahead of it will also approach the far western Panhandle close to daybreak on Sunday (20-30% chance of rain).
  • Lows will reach the lower to middle 60s throughout North Florida and middle 60s to lower 70s in Central and South Florida.
  • With plentiful moisture sticking around overnight, areas of fog and low clouds are possible, especially throughout North and West-Central Florida.
    • The greatest chances for locally dense fog will be across the western Panhandle and Northeast Florida by daybreak Sunday.
  • A moderate to high risk for rip currents is expected for all East Coast and Panhandle beaches today as surf remains elevated with breezy onshore winds.

 

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report