Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, March 31st, 2026

• A near rinse and repeat of yesterday is expected today with spotty chances for showers and embedded thunderstorms across much of the state due to moist south and east flow.
• A few onshore moving showers are ongoing this morning across Southeast Florida, and coverage will increase this afternoon across the Peninsula along the east coast sea breeze as it pushes inland (15-30% chance of rain).
• The greatest chance of rain today, however, is across the northern Panhandle where increasing moisture and the sea breeze will help to initiate activity (35-50% chance of rain).
• Although there is no organized risk for severe weather, some of this activity could be accompanied by an occasional lightning strike or two and locally heavy downpour.
• The easterly flow today will be accompanied by breezy wind gusts upwards of 20 mph along the I-95 corridor with locally higher gusts upwards of 25 mph across Southeast Florida.
• Relative humidities will remain above critical thresholds today, though ongoing drought will keep locally sensitive to elevated wildfire conditions in place.
• High temperatures will reach the middle 70s to middle 80s throughout much of the state this afternoon.
• Lows will reach the upper 50s to middle 60s throughout North Florida and middle 60s to lower 70s in Central and South Florida.
• With plentiful moisture sticking around overnight, areas of fog and low clouds are possible, especially throughout North and West-Central Florida.
• The greatest chances for locally dense fog will be across the western Panhandle and Northeast Florida.
• Elevated surf persists along the East Coast today with waves near 4-6' expected and a high risk for rip currents remaining. A moderate risk is expected for all Panhandle beaches.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report