Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, March 28, 2026
Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 03/28/2026 10:07 AM EDT
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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- A few areas of patchy fog throughout the lower Suwannee River Valley will begin to slowly lift and dissipate this morning ahead of our next frontal passage.
- Sufficient moisture along the I-95 corridor and throughout interior Central and South Florida will allow for isolated to widely scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms to develop this afternoon ahead of and along this front, currently draped across North Florida (25-40% chance of rain).
- Across the Panhandle and Big Bend, north to northeasterly winds will increase to 15-20 mph later this morning and early afternoon with wind gusts upwards of 30 mph possible.
- Paired with critically low relative humidities (20-30%), conditions will become favorable this afternoon for significant wildfire development and spread throughout the Panhandle and Big Bend.
- A Red Flag Warning is in effect until 8 PM EDT/7 PM CDT for all of the Panhandle and much of the Big Bend for this critical fire weather risk.
- Further east, even stronger winds are expected throughout Northeast and East-Central Florida, especially along the immediate coastline, where sustained winds of 25-30 mph are expected with gusts upwards of 35-45 mph.
- A Wind Advisory is in effect for much of the East Coast into tonight for these windy conditions.
- Relative humidities will remain above critical thresholds across Northeast Florida, though given the extreme drought, elevated wildfire conditions can still be expected.
- High temperatures will reach the middle to upper 70s throughout much of North Florida this afternoon. Cooler conditions in the middle to upper 60s can be expected along the Northeast Florida coast given the windier conditions. Highs in the 80s will spread throughout the rest of Central and South Florida today.
- Winds will begin to gradually subside throughout the Panhandle and Big Bend into the evening and overnight hours, though some gusts upwards of 20 mph may linger.
- The cold front passing through the Peninsula will begin to stall tonight across South Florida, which will encourage multiple rounds of scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms throughout the nighttime hours (40-60% chance of rain).
- Although there is no organized risk for flash flooding, some of this activity could bring a few locally heavy downpours capable of producing localized flooding and ponding of water, especially in urban and poor-drainage locations of the Southeast Florida metro region.
- Rainfall totals will generally remain between 1-2” through tonight, though locally heavier totals upwards of 3-5” cannot be ruled out.
- A few isolated showers may also linger along the Northeast and East-Central Florida coast overnight where wind gusts of 25-35 mph will continue to push activity onshore (25-40% chance of rain).
- Low temperatures tonight will cool off into the lower to middle 50s throughout interior North Florida and upper 50s to lower 60s along the North Florida coasts. Lows in the middle 60s to lower 70s are expected throughout Central and South Florida tonight.
- Surf will begin to significantly increase along the East Coast starting this afternoon in the wake of our frontal passage.
- Surf of 5-8' is expected across all Northeast and Space Coast beaches this afternoon, spreading southward to include Treasure Coast beaches tonight and increasing to 9-12'.
- A High Surf Advisory is in effect beginning later this afternoon and evening and through Sunday from Nassau County to Palm Beach County along the East Coast.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.