Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, March 19, 2026

Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 03/19/2026 10:11 AM EDT

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2 
Meteorological Summary:
  • Our late season cool pattern comes to an end; however, brisk northeasterly winds keep afternoon highs mild across North and East Florida.
  • Wind gusts of 20-25 mph can be expected, with locally higher wind gusts upwards of 30 mph possible along the immediate Atlantic beachfront.
  • Onshore flow will allow for isolated to widely scattered showers (35-50% chance of rain) along coastal East-Central and Southeast Florida.
  • West-Central and Southwest Florida will be the warmest spots on the map today with afternoon high temperatures returning into the middle to upper 70s.
  • While warmer than recent nights, low temperatures will remain chilly in the lower 40s across North Florida and the Nature Coast, with a few interior locations making a run toward the upper 30s one more night.
  • While it is looking like a greater concern for this weekend, patchy fog and low clouds may be possible tonight across interior Northeast Florida areas.
  • Recent wetting rains have been certainly beneficial in the short-term; however, we will need several more rounds of rainfall to push the needle out of the deficit and improve the long-term drought and dry soil/vegetation conditions.
  • Exceptional (level 4 of 4) drought has been introduced over eastern Madison, Northern Gilchrist, western Suwannee, and Hamilton counties; portions of the Florida-Georgia state line saw  worsening soil moisture and several streamflow gauges moved into record-low territory for mid-March.
  • Relative humidity values will drop once again into the 20s and 30s across North and interior North-Central Florida, leading to locally sensitive to elevated wildfire conditions.
  • A high risk of rip currents continues to Florida East Coast and West-Central Florida beaches; moderate risk conditions persist for the Florida Panhandle and Southwest Florida coastline.
 

 

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Morning Situation Report