Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, March 17th, 2026

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
 
  • The colder airmass has certainly settled in behind yesterday’s strong frontal system, with an impressive 30- to 40-degree temperature swing for North Florida over the past 24 hours! 
  • Breezy northerly to northwesterly winds of 5-15 mph will continue to reinforce the cooler and drier weather, with wind gusts of 15-25 mph possible.
  • As our recent frontal system stalls over the Florida Straits, its proximity will allow for scattered shower activity across South Florida (40-60% chance of rain).
  • While a stray thunderstorm cannot be ruled out, severe weather or flooding are not expected. 
  • Freeze Warnings have been reissued for the interior Florida Panhandle and Freeze Watches are in place across Northeast Florida and the Suwannee River Valley; upgrades to Freeze Warnings will be issued as conditions warrant this afternoon. 
  • Even as winds gradually subside through the evening and overnight hours, feels-like temperatures in the middle to upper 20s can be expected throughout North Florida; sub-freezing wind chills are also possible from the Nature Coast into interior North-Central Florida.
  • Conditions will be favorable for widespread frost to develop across North Florida; Frost Advisories will go into effect along the northern I-75 corridor tonight.
    • This is especially important for agricultural interests as many plants and crops have already begun to bud, bloom, and green up after the warm 2-week stretch of late February/early March.
  • Dangerous beach and marine conditions continue for most Florida beaches, with elevated wave heights and a moderate to high risk of rip currents
  • Recent wetting rains will largely curb wildfire threat today; however, critically low relative humidities and lingering gusty winds support locally elevated wildfire concerns. 

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report