Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, March 13, 2026

Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 03/13/2026 10:08 AM EDT

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • The cold front associated with yesterday’s frontal passage has stalled and begun to dissipate across South Florida, evident as a few lingering showers this morning.
  • Tropical moisture will pool along and south of this front today with scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms expected to develop this afternoon, mainly south of Lake Okeechobee (45-60% chance of rain); isolated activity will extend northward to the I-4 corridor (15-40% chance of rain).
    • A few of these storms could be locally strong to severe and capable of producing frequent lightning, gusty winds, and small hail.
    • A few locally heavy downpours can also not be ruled out, capable of producing a quick 1-3” of rain.
  • North of the I-4 corridor, a mostly sunny and dry day is expected.
  • Relative humidities will remain low today across North Florida (35-40%), with sensitive wildfire conditions expected given the ongoing drought.
  • A few breezy wind gusts upwards of 20 mph are expected across the Peninsula this afternoon.
  • High temperatures will remain in the lower to middle 70s across the Panhandle today, with upper 70s to middle 80s elsewhere statewide.
    • Onshore winds may keep temperatures a few degrees cooler along the East Coast.
  • Tonight, activity across South Florida will linger and may start to drift northward into Central Florida after midnight (25-40% chance of rain).
  • A mostly dry night is expected elsewhere, though low-level moisture and calm winds may promote low clouds and fog across Northeast and interior South Florida.
  • Lows will fall into the middle 40s and 50s in the Panhandle and Big Bend, with 60s and lower 70s throughout the Peninsula and Keys.
  • A high risk for rip currents is expected along the East Coast today with surf of 4-6'. A moderate risk remains for most Panhandle beaches.

 

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Morning Situation Report