Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, March 12, 2026

Florida Division of Emergency Management sent this bulletin at 03/12/2026 10:18 AM EDT

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Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • A line of strong to severe thunderstorms is ongoing this morning across portions of the eastern Big Bend and Suwannee Valley with a few of these storms capable of producing damaging winds (50-60 mph), a brief tornado or two, and locally heavy downpours.
  • A Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather is outlooked across the Big Bend and portions of Northeast Florida as this line of activity makes its way eastward through the morning hours (85 – near 100% chance of rain) with gradual weakening.
  • The line will begin to approach Central Florida later this afternoon and evening with widely scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms (45-75% chance of rain).
  • In the wake of the front, breezy post-frontal conditions will develop with wind gusts upwards of 30 mph spreading throughout all North and Central Florida, with locally higher gusts upwards of 35 mph across the Panhandle.
  • Drier air will also filter into the Panhandle in the wake of the front, with lower relative humidities (35-40%) encouraging sensitive wildfire conditions, though the overnight rainfall will keep the wildfire risk lower.
  • Temperatures will struggle to climb out of the lower to middle 60s across the Panhandle this afternoon and upper 60s to lower 70s across the Big Bend.
  • Highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s are expected for Northeast Florida with middle to upper 80s throughout the Peninsula.
    • Feels-like temperatures may reach the lower 90s throughout portions of the interior Peninsula.
  • Tonight, a few lingering showers are expected across Central and South Florida as the front begins to stall and dissipate (25-55% chance of rain), with the greatest coverage of activity over the East-Central Peninsula.
  • Winds will begin to subside statewide through the evening, though breezy winds with gusts upwards of 25 mph will still linger along the I-95 corridor.
  • Low temperatures will cool off into the lower to middle 40s across the Panhandle and Big Bend tonight, with upper 40s to lower 50s throughout Northeast Florida.
    • Temperatures may feel like the upper 30s across portions of the Panhandle north of the I-10 corridor near sunrise Friday.
  • Lows in the 60s to lower 70s can be expected along and south of the I-4 corridor.
  • A high risk for rip currents is expected for all Panhandle beaches today; a moderate risk remains for all East Coast beaches
  • Surf will increase to 2-4' for all Panhandle beaches today and through tonight.
  • For the East Coast, surf of 2-3' will increase to near 6-8' by sunrise Friday. A High Surf Advisory may be issued if conditions warrant.

 

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report