Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, March 11th, 2026

• Foggy conditions this morning, some of which is locally dense across the Big Bend and interior South Florida, will continue to slowly lift and dissipate as the sun rises over the Sunshine State.
• High pressure will remain over the state today, keeping mostly dry conditions in place with mostly sunny skies prevailing.
• Relative humidities will dip near critical thresholds across the interior Peninsula today (35-40%) which will continue to create sensitive to locally elevated wildfire conditions.
• High temperatures will reach well into the middle to upper 80s statewide, with lower 90s expected throughout the Peninsula; daily record highs will be approached in many locations.
• Breezy winds will develop across the Panhandle this afternoon, with gusts upwards of 25 mph expected.
• Active weather makes a quick return to the state tonight ahead of an approaching frontal system along the Gulf Coast.
• A strong to severe line of thunderstorms trekking across the deep south is expected to arrive to the western Panhandle shortly after midnight (85-near 100% chance of rain).
• A Slight Risk (level 2 of 5) for Severe Weather is outlooked for the western Panhandle tonight where this line of storms could produce a few damaging wind gusts (50-70 mph), small hail, and a few tornadoes.
• A Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather is outlooked for the eastern Panhandle and nudging into the Big Bend (30-70% chance of rain) as the line of storms is expected to slowly weaken, though similar hazards still exist as the line of thunderstorms enter the region towards sunrise.
• There is no organized risk for flash flooding with this activity, however nuisance flooding and ponding of water cannot be ruled out in areas that receive the heaviest rainfall.
• Rainfall totals between 0.5-1" are expected across much of the Panhandle and Big Bend, though localized amounts upwards of 2-3" cannot be ruled out.
• Ahead of the front, areas of fog and low clouds, some of which could be locally dense, is expected, especially along the Big Bend, Nature Coast, and West-Central Florida coastlines.
• Low temperatures in the middle 60s to lower 70s are expected nearly statewide, outside of the far western Panhandle where rainfall and cloud cover will bring lows into the upper 50s.
• A moderate risk for rip currents is expected for all Panhandle and East Coast beaches, with a local high risk for all First Coast beaches.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report